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State-of-the-art forecasting methods using Recurrent Neural Net- works (RNN) based on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells have shown exceptional performance targeting short-horizon forecasts, e.g given a set of predictor features, forecast…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Aya Abdelsalam Ismail , Timothy Wood , Héctor Corrada Bravo

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

This paper improves wind power prediction via weather forecast-contextualized Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) models. Initially, only wind power data was fed to a generic LSTM, but this model performed poorly, with erratic and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-06 Maximilian Du

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

Short-term rainfall forecasting, also known as precipitation nowcasting has become a potentially fundamental technology impacting significant real-world applications ranging from flight safety, rainstorm alerts to farm irrigation timings.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Maitreya Patel , Anery Patel , Dr. Ranendu Ghosh

Most real-world datasets, and particularly those collected from physical systems, are full of noise, packet loss, and other imperfections. However, most specification mining, anomaly detection and other such algorithms assume, or even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-12 Ilia Sucholutsky , Apurva Narayan , Matthias Schonlau , Sebastian Fischmeister

We describe recurrent neural networks (RNNs), which have attracted great attention on sequential tasks, such as handwriting recognition, speech recognition and image to text. However, compared to general feedforward neural networks, RNNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-16 Gang Chen

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

Poor air quality can have a significant impact on human health. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) air quality forecasting guidance is challenged by the increasing presence of extreme air quality events due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Sophia Hamer , Jennifer Sleeman , Ivanka Stajner

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies

In the context of time-series forecasting, we propose a LSTM-based recurrent neural network architecture and loss function that enhance the stability of the predictions. In particular, the loss function penalizes the model, not only on the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-09 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

The goal of precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period of time. Very few previous studies have examined this crucial and challenging weather forecasting problem from…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-09-22 Xingjian Shi , Zhourong Chen , Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Wai-kin Wong , Wang-chun Woo

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

Predicting the completion time of business process instances would be a very helpful aid when managing processes under service level agreement constraints. The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances would allow…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-13 Nicolò Navarin , Beatrice Vincenzi , Mirko Polato , Alessandro Sperduti

In the modern transportation industry, accurate prediction of travelers' next destinations brings multiple benefits to companies, such as customer satisfaction and targeted marketing. This study focuses on developing a precise model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Salih Salihoglu , Gulser Koksal , Orhan Abar
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