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Random forests are among the most popular classification and regression methods used in industrial applications. To be effective, the parameters of random forests must be carefully tuned. This is usually done by choosing values that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-03 C. H. Bryan Liu , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain , Duncan A. Little , Angelo Cardoso

In the context of personalized medicine, machine learning algorithms are growing in popularity. These algorithms require substantial information, which can be acquired effectively through the usage of previously gathered data. Open data and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Niklas Jacobs , Manuel C. Voelkle , Norbert Kathmann , Kevin Hilbert

The regularized random forest (RRF) was recently proposed for feature selection by building only one ensemble. In RRF the features are evaluated on a part of the training data at each tree node. We derive an upper bound for the number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-21 Houtao Deng , George Runger

We introduce random survival forests, a random forests method for the analysis of right-censored survival data. New survival splitting rules for growing survival trees are introduced, as is a new missing data algorithm for imputing missing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-12 Hemant Ishwaran , Udaya B. Kogalur , Eugene H. Blackstone , Michael S. Lauer

Axis-aligned decision trees are fast and stable but struggle on datasets with rotated or interaction-dependent decision boundaries, where informative splits require linear combinations of features rather than single-feature thresholds.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Sarwesh Rauniyar

Gradient-boosted regression trees (GBRTs) are hugely popular for solving tabular regression problems, but provide no estimate of uncertainty. We propose Instance-Based Uncertainty estimation for Gradient-boosted regression trees (IBUG), a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Jonathan Brophy , Daniel Lowd

This paper introduces a boosted conformal procedure designed to tailor conformalized prediction intervals toward specific desired properties, such as enhanced conditional coverage or reduced interval length. We employ machine learning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Ran Xie , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candès

Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

In this paper, error estimates of classification Random Forests are quantitatively assessed. Based on the initial theoretical framework built by Bates et al. (2023), the true error rate and expected error rate are theoretically and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-09 Ian Krupkin , Johanna Hardin

Random forests are a very effective and commonly used statistical method, but their full theoretical analysis is still an open problem. As a first step, simplified models such as purely random forests have been introduced, in order to shed…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-16 Sylvain Arlot , Robin Genuer

Deep learning models are being adopted and applied on various critical decision-making tasks, yet they are trained to provide point predictions without providing degrees of confidence. The trustworthiness of deep learning models can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Daniel Nolte , Souparno Ghosh , Ranadip Pal

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-28 Tim Coleman , Kimberly Kaufeld , Mary Frances Dorn , Lucas Mentch

Random Forests have been one of the most popular bagging methods in the past few decades, especially due to their success at handling tabular datasets. They have been extensively studied and compared to boosting models, like XGBoost, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vasiliki Stoumpou

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Random forests are an ensemble method relevant for many problems, such as regression or classification. They are popular due to their good predictive performance (compared to, e.g., decision trees) requiring only minimal tuning of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein

Symbolic regression is a nonlinear regression method which is commonly performed by an evolutionary computation method such as genetic programming. Quantification of uncertainty of regression models is important for the interpretation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Fabricio Olivetti de Franca , Gabriel Kronberger

The Random Forest (RF) algorithm can be applied to a broad spectrum of problems, including time series prediction. However, neither the classical IID (Independent and Identically distributed) bootstrap nor block bootstrapping strategies (as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Cabrel Teguemne Fokam , Carsten Jentsch , Michel Lang , Markus Pauly

Data analysis and machine learning have become an integrative part of the modern scientific methodology, providing automated techniques to predict further information based on observations. One of these classification and regression…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-07 Mario Amrehn , Firas Mualla , Elli Angelopoulou , Stefan Steidl , Andreas Maier

Classification is essential to the applications in the field of data mining, artificial intelligence, and fault detection. There exists a strong need in developing accurate, suitable, and efficient classification methods and algorithms with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Yingtao Ren , Xiaomin Zhu , Kaiyuan Bai , Runtong Zhang