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In this article, we introduce a kernel-based consensual aggregation method for regression problems. We aim to flexibly combine individual regression estimators $r_1, r_2, \ldots, r_M$ using a weighted average where the weights are defined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-29 Sothea Has

Development of robust concrete mixes with a lower environmental impact is challenging due to natural variability in constituent materials and a multitude of possible combinations of mix proportions. Making reliable property predictions with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Jessica C. Forsdyke , Bahdan Zviazhynski , Janet M. Lees , Gareth J. Conduit

Conformal prediction quantifies the uncertainty of machine learning models by augmenting point predictions with valid prediction sets. For complex scenarios involving multiple trials, models, or data sources, conformal prediction sets can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Gina Wong , Drew Prinster , Suchi Saria , Rama Chellappa , Anqi Liu

Designing composite materials as per the application requirements is fundamentally a challenging and time consuming task. Here we report the development of a deep neural network based computational framework capable of solving the forward…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Ashank , Soumen Chakravarty , Pranshu Garg , Ankit Kumar , Manish Agrawal , Prabhat K. Agnihotri

In this article, we propose a novel ensemble technique with a multi-scheme weighting based on a technique called coopetitive soft gating. This technique combines both, ensemble member competition and cooperation, in order to maximize the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-03-20 André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

Surrogate modeling for systems with high-dimensional quantities of interest remains challenging, particularly when training data are costly to acquire. This work develops multifidelity methods for multiple-input multiple-output linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Vignesh Sella , Julie Pham , Karen Willcox , Anirban Chaudhuri

Fitting mixed models to complex survey data is a challenging problem. Most methods in the literature, including the most widely used one, require a close relationship between the model structure and the survey design. In this paper we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-23 Thomas Lumley , Xudong Huang

Gaussian process (GP) models have received increasing attention in recent years due to their superb prediction accuracy and modeling flexibility. To address the computational burdens of GP models for large-scale datasets, distributed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

This paper introduces mixed-integer optimization methods to solve regression problems that incorporate fairness metrics. We propose an exact formulation for training fair regression models. To tackle this computationally hard problem, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Anna Deza , Andrés Gómez , Alper Atamtürk

Convex regression is a promising area for bridging statistical estimation and deterministic convex optimization. New piecewise linear convex regression methods are fast and scalable, but can have instability when used to approximate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Lauren Hannah , David Dunson

We develop a Gaussian-process mixture model for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation that leverages the use of transformed outcomes. The approach we will present attempts to improve point estimation and uncertainty quantification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-19 Abbas Zaidi , Sayan Mukherjee

Decision trees usefully represent sparse, high dimensional and noisy data. Having learned a function from this data, we may want to thereafter integrate the function into a larger decision-making problem, e.g., for picking the best chemical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-26 Miten Mistry , Dimitrios Letsios , Gerhard Krennrich , Robert M. Lee , Ruth Misener

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Eight percent of global carbon dioxide emissions can be attributed to the production of cement, the main component of concrete, which is also the dominant source of CO2 emissions in the construction of data centers. The discovery of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Sebastian Ament , Andrew Witte , Nishant Garg , Julius Kusuma

We propose a unified class of calibration weighting methods based on weighted generalized entropy to handle missing at random (MAR) data with improved stability and efficiency. The proposed generalized entropy calibration (GEC) formulates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Yonghyun Kwon , Jae Kwang Kim , Yumou Qiu

Meta-analysis, because of both logistical convenience and statistical efficiency, is widely popular for synthesizing information on common parameters of interest across multiple studies. We propose developing a generalized meta-analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Prosenjit Kundu , Runlong Tang , Nilanjan Chatterjee

Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Hieu Pham

In this paper, we introduce a novel method for merging the weights of multiple pre-trained neural networks using a genetic algorithm called MeGA. Traditional techniques, such as weight averaging and ensemble methods, often fail to fully…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Daniel Yun

Nowadays, weather forecasts are commonly generated by ensemble forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. However, such forecasts are usually miscalibrated and/or biased, thus require statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-13 David Jobst

Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) balance predictive accuracy and interpretability, but manually configuring their structure is challenging. We propose using the multi-objective genetic algorithm NSGA-II to automatically optimize GAMs,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Kaaustaaub Shankar , Kelly Cohen