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Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

The Jensen inequality is a widely used tool in a multitude of fields, such as for example information theory and machine learning. It can be also used to derive other standard inequalities such as the inequality of arithmetic and geometric…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-15 Gerhard Wunder , Benedikt Groß , Rick Fritschek , Rafael F. Schaefer

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-26 Jaan Altosaar , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Since its original formulation, Jensen's inequality has played a fundamental role across mathematics, statistics, and machine learning, with its probabilistic version highlighting the nonnegativity of the so-called Jensen's gap, i.e., the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Marcin Mazur , Tadeusz Dziarmaga , Piotr Kościelniak , Łukasz Struski

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) enriches the expressiveness of variational families by utilizing a kernel and a mixing distribution to hierarchically define the variational distribution. Existing SIVI methods parameterize the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Jen Ning Lim , Adam M. Johansen

The proliferation of computing devices has brought about an opportunity to deploy machine learning models on new problem domains using previously inaccessible data. Traditional algorithms for training such models often require data to be…

Recently, Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) has been increasingly attractive thanks to its ability to find good posterior approximations of probabilistic models. It optimizes the variational objective with stochastic optimization,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Minta Liu , Suliang Bu

Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Improving the robustness of neural nets in regression tasks is key to their application in multiple domains. Deep learning-based approaches aim to achieve this goal either by improving their prediction of specific values (i.e., point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Eli Simhayev , Gilad Katz , Lior Rokach

Bayesian deep learning plays an important role especially for its ability evaluating epistemic uncertainty (EU). Due to computational complexity issues, approximation methods such as variational inference (VI) have been used in practice to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata , Naonori Ueda , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

We propose Diffusion Model Variational Inference (DMVI), a novel method for automated approximate inference in probabilistic programming languages (PPLs). DMVI utilizes diffusion models as variational approximations to the true posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Simon Dirmeier , Fernando Perez-Cruz

Recently, particle-based variational inference (ParVI) methods have gained interest because they can avoid arbitrary parametric assumptions that are common in variational inference. However, many ParVI approaches do not allow arbitrary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-12 Neale Ratzlaff , Qinxun Bai , Li Fuxin , Wei Xu

We propose a general framework for obtaining probabilistic solutions to PDE-based inverse problems. Bayesian methods are attractive for uncertainty quantification but assume knowledge of the likelihood model or data generation process. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Youngsoo Baek , Wilkins Aquino , Sayan Mukherjee

We introduce a new variational inference (VI) framework, called energetic variational inference (EVI). It minimizes the VI objective function based on a prescribed energy-dissipation law. Using the EVI framework, we can derive many existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiwei Wang , Jiuhai Chen , Chun Liu , Lulu Kang

In this work, we adopt a general framework based on the Gibbs posterior to update belief distributions for inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The Gibbs posterior formulation is a generalization of standard…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Zilong Zou , Sayan Mukherjee , Harbir Antil , Wilkins Aquino

Deep learning has revolutionized the last decade, being at the forefront of extraordinary advances in a wide range of tasks including computer vision, natural language processing, and reinforcement learning, to name but a few. However, it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Sebastian W. Ober

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have proven an effective tool for solving differential equations, in particular when considering non-standard or ill-posed settings. When inferring solutions and parameters of the differential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Philipp Pilar , Markus Heinonen , Niklas Wahlström
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