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Regional aggregates of health outcomes over delineated administrative units (e.g., states, counties, zip codes), or areal units, are widely used by epidemiologists to map mortality or incidence rates and capture geographic variation. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Leiwen Gao , Sudipto Banerjee , Beate Ritz

Extreme natural hazards are increasing in frequency and intensity. These natural changes in our environment, combined with man-made pollution, have substantial economic, social and health impacts globally. The impact of the environment on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-25 Aiden Price , Kerrie Mengersen , Michael Rigby , Paula Fiévez

Environmental exposures are often defined using buffer zones around geocoded home addresses, but these static boundaries can miss dynamic daily activity patterns, leading to biased results. This paper presents a novel measurement error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Lin Ge , Ce Yang , David Zucker , Jiaxuan Li , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

Estimating environmental exposures from multi-source data is central to public health research and policy. Integrating data from satellite products and ground monitors are increasingly used to produce exposure surfaces. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Yovna Junglee , Vianey Leos Barajas , Meredith Franklin

Bayesian model updating facilitates the calibration of analytical models based on observations and the quantification of uncertainties in model parameters such as stiffness and mass. This process significantly enhances damage assessment and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Taro Yaoyama , Tatsuya Itoi , Jun Iyama

Small area ecological studies are commonly used in epidemiology to assess the impact of area level risk factors on health outcomes when data are only available in an aggregated form. However the resulting estimates are often biased due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-19 Yingbo Wang , Sylvia Richardson , Anna Hansell , Marta Blangiardo

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu

Estimation of the long-term health effects of air pollution is a challenging task, especially when modelling small-area disease incidence data in an ecological study design. The challenge comes from the unobserved underlying spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-24 Duncan Lee , Alastair Rushworth , Sujit K. Sahu

Many countries are suffering from severe air pollution. Understanding how different air pollutants accumulate and propagate is critical to making relevant public policies. In this paper, we use urban big data (air quality data and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Julie Yixuan Zhu , Chao Zhang , Huichu Zhang , Shi Zhi , Victor O. K. Li , Jiawei Han , Yu Zheng

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are typically encountered as mixtures of distinct chemicals with distinct effects on multiple health outcomes. Estimating joint causal effects using spatially-dependent observed data is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Xiaodan Zhou , Brian J Reich , Shu Yang

Spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting is a critical task with extensive applications in the real world, including traffic and weather forecasting. Although several recent methods have been proposed to model complex dynamics in STGs,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Jinhyeok Choi , Heehyeon Kim , Minhyeong An , Joyce Jiyoung Whang

This article studies the benefits of using spatially randomized experimental designs which partition the experimental area into distinct, non-overlapping units with treatments assigned randomly. Such designs offer improved policy evaluation…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Shouyang Wang , Hongtu Zhu

A key challenge in environmental health research is unmeasured spatial confounding, driven by unobserved spatially structured variables that influence both treatment and outcome. A common approach is to fit a spatial regression that models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Sophie M. Woodward , Francesca Dominici , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Scholars from diverse fields increasingly rely on high-frequency spatio-temporal data. Yet, causal inference with these data remains challenging due to spatial spillover and temporal carryover effects. We develop methods to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-03 Lingxiao Zhou , Kosuke Imai , Jason Lyall , Georgia Papadogeorgou

Many studies of biomedical time series signals aim to measure the association between frequency-domain properties of time series and clinical and behavioral covariates. However, the time-varying dynamics of these associations are largely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-05 Scott A. Bruce , Martica H. Hall , Daniel J. Buysse , Robert T. Krafty

This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Judith J. Lok

Event Studies (ES) are statistical tools that assess whether a particular event of interest has caused changes in the level of one or more relevant time series. We are interested in ES applied to multivariate time series characterized by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-09 Paolo Maranzano , Matteo Maria Pelagatti

Multivariate time series modeling and prediction problems are abundant in many machine learning application domains. Accurate interpretation of such prediction outcomes from a machine learning model that explicitly captures temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Tryambak Gangopadhyay , Sin Yong Tan , Zhanhong Jiang , Rui Meng , Soumik Sarkar

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

The analysis of population-wide datasets can provide insight on the health status of large populations so that public health officials can make data-driven decisions. The analysis of such datasets often requires highly parameterized models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-03 Dorota Młynarczyk , Carmen Armero , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Pedro Puig