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A pricing formula for discount bonds, based on the consideration of the market perception of future liquidity risk, is established. An information-based model for liquidity is then introduced, which is used to obtain an expression for the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-05-24 Dorje C. Brody , Robyn L. Friedman

Predicting market movements based on the sentiment of news media has a long tradition in data analysis. With advances in natural language processing, transformer architectures have emerged that enable contextually aware sentiment…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-05-11 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun

Detecting important events in high volume news streams is an important task for a variety of purposes.The volume and rate of online news increases the need for automated event detection methods thatcan operate in real time. In this paper we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-05-29 Iraklis Moutidis , Hywel T. P. Williams

We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

Automatically generated political event data is an important part of the social science data ecosystem. The approaches for generating this data, though, have remained largely the same for two decades. During this time, the field of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-09-21 John Beieler

Clustering web documents has numerous applications, such as aggregating news articles into meaningful events, detecting trends and hot topics on the Web, preserving diversity in search results, etc. At the same time, the importance of named…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-07-19 Matthias Galle , Jean-Michel Renders , Guillaume Jacquet

Process mining focuses on the analysis of recorded event data in order to gain insights about the true execution of business processes. While foundational process mining techniques treat such data as sequences of abstract events, more…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Adrian Rebmann , Han van der Aa

News articles are driven by the informational sources journalists use in reporting. Modeling when, how and why sources get used together in stories can help us better understand the information we consume and even help journalists with the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Alexander Spangher , Nanyun Peng , Jonathan May , Emilio Ferrara

Our world is shaped by events of various complexity. This includes both small-scale local events like local farmer markets and large complex events like political and military conflicts. The latter are typically not observed directly but…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-04-26 Florian Plötzky , Niklas Kiehne , Wolf-Tilo Balke

Using machine learning and alternative data for the prediction of financial markets has been a popular topic in recent years. Many financial variables such as stock price, historical volatility and trade volume have already been through…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-18 Thomas Dierckx , Jesse Davis , Wim Schoutens

Information resources such as newspapers have produced unstructured text data in various languages related to the corona outbreak since December 2019. Analyzing these unstructured texts is time-consuming without representing them in a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Sefika Efeoglu , Adrian Paschke

A stream of unstructured news can be a valuable source of hidden relations between different entities, such as financial institutions, countries, or persons. We present an approach to continuously collect online news, recognize relevant…

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

With the widespread adoption of process mining in organizations, the field of process science is seeing an increase in the demand for ad-hoc analysis techniques of non-standard event data. An example of such data are uncertain event data:…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-04-11 Marco Pegoraro

Understanding causality is a core aspect of intelligence. The Event Causality Identification with Causal News Corpus Shared Task addresses two aspects of this challenge: Subtask 1 aims at detecting causal relationships in texts, and Subtask…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Timo Pierre Schrader , Simon Razniewski , Lukas Lange , Annemarie Friedrich

Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

Learning causal and temporal relationships between events is an important step towards deeper story and commonsense understanding. Though there are abundant datasets annotated with event relations for story comprehension, many have no…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-04-29 Rujun Han , Mengyue Liang , Bashar Alhafni , Nanyun Peng

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

Finance-related news such as Bloomberg News, CNN Business and Forbes are valuable sources of real data for market screening systems. In news, an expert shares opinions beyond plain technical analyses that include context such as political,…