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We propose a new method for parameter learning in Bayesian networks with qualitative influences. This method extends our previous work from networks of binary variables to networks of discrete variables with ordered values. The specified…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-26 Ad Feelders

We consider the worst-case expectation of a permutation invariant ambiguity set of discrete distributions as a proxy-cost for data-driven expected risk minimization. For this framework, we coin the term ordered risk minimization to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-19 Peter Coppens , Panagiotis Patrinos

In real-world applications, the distribution of the data, and our goals, evolve over time. The prevailing theoretical framework for studying machine learning, namely probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, largely ignores time. As a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-31 Ashwin De Silva , Rahul Ramesh , Rubing Yang , Siyu Yu , Joshua T Vogelstein , Pratik Chaudhari

This study explores the classification error of Mixture Discriminant Analysis (MDA) in scenarios where the number of mixture components exceeds those present in the actual data distribution, a condition known as overspecification. We use a…

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Objective: Sparse Bayesian learning provides an effective scheme to solve the high-dimensional problem in brain signal decoding. However, traditional assumptions regarding data distributions such as Gaussian and binomial are potentially…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

While the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework offers an elegant solution to the problem of decision making under uncertainty, one question is how to appropriately select the prior distribution. One idea is to employ a worst-case prior.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Thomas Kleine Buening , Christos Dimitrakakis , Hannes Eriksson , Divya Grover , Emilio Jorge

Radio map estimation (RME) is the problem of inferring the value of a certain metric (e.g. signal power) across an area of interest given a collection of measurements. While most works tackle this problem from a purely non-Bayesian…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-11 Tien Ngoc Ha , Daniel Romero

Bayesian classification labels observations based on given prior information, namely class-a priori and class-conditional probabilities. Bayes' risk is the minimum expected classification cost that is achieved by the Bayes' test, the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Frank Nielsen

Minimum Bayes risk (MBR) decoding outputs the hypothesis with the highest expected utility over the model distribution for some utility function. It has been shown to improve accuracy over beam search in conditional language generation…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Julius Cheng , Andreas Vlachos

State-level minimum Bayes risk (sMBR) training has become the de facto standard for sequence-level training of speech recognition acoustic models. It has an elegant formulation using the expectation semiring, and gives large improvements in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2017-06-12 Matt Shannon

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

The minimum mean-square error (MMSE) achievable by optimal estimation of a random variable $Y\in\mathbb{R}$ given another random variable $X\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ is of much interest in a variety of statistical settings. In the context of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Mario Diaz , Peter Kairouz , Lalitha Sankar

We propose a risk-averse statistical learning framework wherein the performance of a learning algorithm is evaluated by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of losses rather than the expected loss. We devise algorithms based on stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-17 Tasuku Soma , Yuichi Yoshida

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We present an algorithm for the statistical learning setting with a bounded exp-concave loss in $d$ dimensions that obtains excess risk $O(d \log(1/\delta)/n)$ with probability at least $1 - \delta$. The core technique is to boost the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-10-17 Nishant A. Mehta

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. De Campos

Lack of performance when it comes to continual learning over non-stationary distributions of data remains a major challenge in scaling neural network learning to more human realistic settings. In this work we propose a new conceptualization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-06 Matthew Riemer , Ignacio Cases , Robert Ajemian , Miao Liu , Irina Rish , Yuhai Tu , Gerald Tesauro

When learning to ride a bike, a child falls down a number of times before achieving the first success. As falling down usually has only mild consequences, it can be seen as a tolerable failure in exchange for a faster learning process, as…

Information divergence functions play a critical role in statistics and information theory. In this paper we show that a non-parametric f-divergence measure can be used to provide improved bounds on the minimum binary classification…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-02-11 Visar Berisha , Alan Wisler , Alfred O. Hero , Andreas Spanias