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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Many real world problems exhibit patterns that have periodic behavior. For example, in astrophysics, periodic variable stars play a pivotal role in understanding our universe. An important step when analyzing data from such processes is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-08-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

Objective: Gaussian Processes (GP)-based filters, which have been effectively used for various applications including electrocardiogram (ECG) filtering can be computationally demanding and the choice of their hyperparameters is typically ad…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-10 Mircea Dumitru , Qiao Li , Erick Andres Perez Alday , Ali Bahrami Rad , Gari D. Clifford , Reza Sameni

In various fields of data science, researchers are often interested in estimating the ratio of conditional expectation functions (CEFR). Specifically in causal inference problems, it is sometimes natural to consider ratio-based treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-27 Kazuhiko Shinoda , Takahiro Hoshino

Recently, there has been a growing interest for mixed-categorical meta-models based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogates. In this setting, several existing approaches use different strategies either by using continuous kernels (e.g.,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-25 P. Saves , Y. Diouane , N. Bartoli , T. Lefebvre , J. Morlier

A fundamental goal in network neuroscience is to understand how activity in one region drives activity elsewhere, a process referred to as effective connectivity. Here we propose to model this causal interaction using integro-differential…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2017-05-17 Luca Ambrogioni , Max Hinne , Marcel van Gerven , Eric Maris

For a theoretical understanding of the reactivity of complex chemical systems, relative energies of stationary points on potential energy hypersurfaces need to be calculated to high accuracy. Due to the large number of intermediates present…

化学物理 · 物理学 2018-10-30 Gregor N. Simm , Markus Reiher

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

A typical problem in air pollution epidemiology is exposure assessment for individuals for which health data are available. Due to the sparsity of monitoring sites and the limited temporal frequency with which measurements of air pollutants…

Mendelian randomization (MR) is a pivotal tool in genetics, genomics, and epidemiology, leveraging genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer causal relationships between exposures and outcomes. Traditional MR methods, while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-15 Bitan Sarkar , Yuchao Jiang , Tian Ge , Yang Ni

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

A new method is proposed for estimating the rate of fugitive emissions of particulate matter from multiple time-dependent sources via measurements of deposition and concentration. We cast this source inversion problem within the Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-01 Bamdad Hosseini , John M. Stockie

This paper presents a Gaussian process (GP) model for estimating piecewise continuous regression functions. In scientific and engineering applications of regression analysis, the underlying regression functions are piecewise continuous in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Chiwoo Park

Heat waves resulting from prolonged extreme temperatures pose a significant risk to human health globally. Given the limitations of observations of extreme temperature, climate models are often used to characterize extreme temperature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-08 Mark Risser

Maternal exposure to environmental chemicals during pregnancy can alter birth and children's health outcomes. Research seeks to identify critical windows, time periods when the exposures can change future health outcomes, and estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-14 Daniel Mork , Ander Wilson

The results from Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) on thousands of phenotypes provide an unprecedented opportunity to infer the causal effect of one phenotype (exposure) on another (outcome). Mendelian randomization (MR), an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Jia Zhao , Jingsi Ming , Xianghong Hu , Gang Chen , Jin Liu , Can Yang

We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-12-25 Ryan Prescott Adams , Iain Murray , David J. C. MacKay

The recent development of statistical methods that can distinguish between stellar activity and dynamical signals in radial velocity (RV) observations has facilitated the discovery and characterization of planets orbiting young stars. One…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-25 Quang H. Tran , Brendan P. Bowler

We propose a network structure discovery model for continuous observations that generalizes linear causal models by incorporating a Gaussian process (GP) prior on a network-independent component, and random sparsity and weight matrices as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-01 Amir Dezfouli , Edwin V. Bonilla , Richard Nock
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