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As the COVID-19 outbreak evolves, accurate forecasting continues to play an extremely important role in informing policy decisions. In this paper, we present our continuous curation of a large data repository containing COVID-19 information…

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect communities around the world. To date, almost 6 million people have died as a consequence of COVID-19, and more than one-quarter of a billion people are estimated to have been infected…

Using a hybrid of machine learning and epidemiological approaches, we propose a novel data-driven approach in predicting US COVID-19 deaths at a county level. The model gives a more complete description of the daily death distribution,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-09 R. Bathwal , P. Chitta , K. Tirumala , V. Varadarajan

In this work, we propose a deep learning approach to forecasting state-level COVID-19 trends of weekly cumulative death in the United States (US) and incident cases in Germany. This approach includes a transformer model, an ensemble method,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-03 Chung Yan Fong , Dit-Yan Yeung

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed forecasting models at the forefront of health policy making. Predictions of mortality and hospitalization help governments meet planning and resource allocation challenges. In this paper, we consider the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-21 Kathryn S. Taylor , James W. Taylor

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an emerging respiratory disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with rapid human-to-human transmission and a high case fatality rate particularly in older…

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been continuously affecting human lives and communities around the world in many ways, from cities…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-24 Ashkan Ebadi , Pengcheng Xi , Stéphane Tremblay , Bruce Spencer , Raman Pall , Alexander Wong

We present an interpretable high-resolution spatio-temporal model to estimate COVID-19 deaths together with confirmed cases one-week ahead of the current time, at the county-level and weekly aggregated, in the United States. A notable…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-24 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Mauricio Santillana , Shihao Yang , Yao Xie

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

The global pandemic caused by COVID-19 affects our lives in all aspects. As of September 11, more than 28 million people have tested positive for COVID-19 infection, and more than 911,000 people have lost their lives in this virus battle.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-29 Yuqi Meng , Qiancheng Sun , Suning Hong , Ying Zhao , Zhixiang Li

Since December 2019, the world has been witnessing the gigantic effect of an unprecedented global pandemic called Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) - COVID-19. So far, 38,619,674 confirmed cases and 1,093,522…

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

COVID 19 is a disease that has abnormal over 170 nations worldwide. The number of infected people (either sick or dead) has been growing at a worrying ratio in virtually all the affected countries. Forecasting procedures can be instructed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Aseel Sameer Mohamed , Nooriya A. Mohammed

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a profound impact on global health and economy, making it crucial to build accurate and interpretable data-driven predictive models for COVID-19 cases to improve policy making. The extremely large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-02 Yangyi Zhang , Sui Tang , Guo Yu

During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Patrick Urrutia , David Wren , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Ruriko Yoshida

This study explored how population mobility flows form commuting networks across US counties and influence the spread of COVID-19. We utilized 3-level mixed effects negative binomial regression models to estimate the impact of network…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Christopher Seto , Aria Khademi , Corina Graif , Vasant G. Honavar

COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing global pandemic which has caused unprecedented disruptions in the public health sector and global economy. The virus, SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the rapid transmission of coronavirus disease. Due to its…

COVID-19 is not a universal killer. We study the spread of COVID-19 at the county level for the United States up until the 15$^{th}$ of August, 2020. We show that the prevalence of the disease and the death rate are correlated with the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-07-01 Ayan Paul , Philipp Englert , Melinda Varga

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting 201 countries and territories around the globe. As of April 4, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 11,16,643…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh
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