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In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

Complex large-scale studies, such as those related to microarray data and fMRI studies, often involve testing multiple hierarchically ordered hypotheses. However, most existing false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures do not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-15 Gavin Lynch , Wenge Guo

Deploying deep neural networks for risk-sensitive tasks necessitates an uncertainty estimation mechanism. This paper introduces hierarchical selective classification, extending selective classification to a hierarchical setting. Our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Shani Goren , Ido Galil , Ran El-Yaniv

Many inference techniques for multivariate data analysis assume that the rows of the data matrix are realizations of independent and identically distributed random vectors. Such an assumption will be met, for example, if the rows of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-31 Peter D. Hoff

In confirmatory clinical trials with small sample sizes, hypothesis tests based on asymptotic distributions are often not valid and exact non-parametric procedures are applied instead. However, the latter are based on discrete test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Robin Ristl , Dong Xi , Ekkehard Glimm , Martin Posch

When analyzing empirical data, we often find that global linear models overestimate the number of parameters required. In such cases, we may ask whether the data lies on or near a manifold or a set of manifolds (a so-called multi-manifold)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-03 F. Patricia Medina , Linda Ness , Melanie Weber , Karamatou Yacoubou Djima

Hierarchical Classification (HC) is a supervised learning problem where unlabeled instances are classified into a taxonomy of classes. Several methods that utilize the hierarchical structure have been developed to improve the HC…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-10-18 Azad Naik , Huzefa Rangwala

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

Model-based diagnosis reasons backwards from a functional schematic of a system to isolate faults given observations of anomalous behavior. We develop a fully probabilistic approach to model based diagnosis and extend it to support…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Sampath Srinivas

This paper investigates improved testing inferences under a general multivariate elliptical regression model. The model is very flexible in terms of the specification of the mean vector and the dispersion matrix, and of the choice of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-01 T. F. N. Melo , S. L. P. Ferrari , A. G. Patriota

In hierarchical text classification, we perform a sequence of inference steps to predict the category of a document from top to bottom of a given class taxonomy. Most of the studies have focused on developing novels neural network…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Kervy Rivas Rojas , Gina Bustamante , Arturo Oncevay , Marco A. Sobrevilla Cabezudo

Standard high-dimensional factor models assume that the comovements in a large set of variables could be modeled using a small number of latent factors that affect all variables. In many relevant applications in economics and finance,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-08 Antoine Djogbenou , Razvan Sufana

Residual marked empirical process-based tests are commonly used in regression models. However, they suffer from data sparseness in high-dimensional space when there are many covariates. This paper has three purposes. First, we suggest a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-27 Xuehu Zhu , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

We consider high-dimensional generalized linear models when the covariates are contaminated by measurement error. Estimates from errors-in-variables regression models are well-known to be biased in traditional low-dimensional settings if…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-06 Michael Byrd , Monnie McGee

Agglomerative hierarchical clustering is one of the most widely used approaches for exploring how observations in a dataset relate to each other. However, its greedy nature makes it highly sensitive to small perturbations in the data, often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Di Wu , Jacob Bien , Snigdha Panigrahi

Hierarchical Bayesian inference is often conducted with estimates of the target distribution derived from Monte Carlo sums over samples from separate analyses of parts of the hierarchy or from mock observations used to estimate sensitivity…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-04-04 Reed Essick , Will Farr

This paper addresses the following general scenario: A scientist wishes to perform a battery of experiments, each generating a sequential stream of data, to investigate some phenomenon. The scientist would like to control the overall error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-12 Jay Bartroff , Jinlin Song

We study how to effectively leverage expert feedback to learn sequential decision-making policies. We focus on problems with sparse rewards and long time horizons, which typically pose significant challenges in reinforcement learning. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Hoang M. Le , Nan Jiang , Alekh Agarwal , Miroslav Dudík , Yisong Yue , Hal Daumé

Imperfect Information Games (IIGs) offer robust models for scenarios where decision-makers face uncertainty or lack complete information. Counterfactual Regret Minimization (CFR) has been one of the most successful family of algorithms for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Jiayu Chen , Zhekai Wang , Vaneet Aggarwal

In many applications, linear models fit the data poorly. This article studies an appealing alternative, the generalized regression model. This model only assumes that there exists an unknown monotonically increasing link function connecting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Fang Han , Hongkai Ji , Zhicheng Ji , Honglang Wang