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This paper is a note on the use of Bayesian nonparametric mixture models for continuous time series. We identify a key requirement for such models, and then establish that there is a single type of model which meets this requirement. As it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-05 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

This paper has been withdrawn. With the advancement of statistical theory and computing power, data sets are providing a greater amount of insight into the problems of today. Statisticians have an ever increasing number of tools to attack…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-20 Derek S. Young

This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-03 Ben D. Fulcher

Mixture models have been around for over 150 years, as an intuitively simple and practical tool for enriching the collection of probability distributions available for modelling data. In this chapter we describe the basic ideas of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-08 Peter J. Green

Diffusion models, a family of generative models based on deep learning, have become increasingly prominent in cutting-edge machine learning research. With a distinguished performance in generating samples that resemble the observed data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-02 Lequan Lin , Zhengkun Li , Ruikun Li , Xuliang Li , Junbin Gao

Effective utilization of time series data is often constrained by the scarcity of data quantity that reflects complex dynamics, especially under the condition of distributional shifts. Existing datasets may not encompass the full range of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Haibei Zhu , Yousef El-Laham , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Finite mixture models have been a very important tool for exploring complex data structures in many scientific areas, for example, economics, epidemiology, finance. In the past decade, semiparametric techniques have been popularly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-15 Sijia Xiang , Weixin Yao , Guangren Yang

Periodic signals play an important role in daily lives. Although conventional sequential models have shown remarkable success in various fields, they still come short in modeling periodicity; they either collapse, diverge or ignore details.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-11-29 Jiyoung Lee , Wonjae Kim , Daehoon Gwak , Edward Choi

Diffusion models have been widely used in time series and spatio-temporal data, enhancing generative, inferential, and downstream capabilities. These models are applied across diverse fields such as healthcare, recommendation, climate,…

In economics and many other forecasting domains, the real world problems are too complex for a single model that assumes a specific data generation process. The forecasting performance of different methods changes depending on the nature of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Li Li , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Shiyu Wang , Haixu Wu , Xiaoming Shi , Tengge Hu , Huakun Luo , Lintao Ma , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou

In this article we discuss some of the consequences of the mixed membership perspective on time series analysis. In its most abstract form, a mixed membership model aims to associate an individual entity with some set of attributes based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-16 Emily B. Fox , Michael I. Jordan

It is the purpose of the paper to describe the virtues of time-frequency methods for signal processing applications, having astronomical time series in mind. Different methods are considered and their potential usefulness respectively…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 R. Vio , W. Wamsteker

This paper gives an introduction to the theory of orthogonal projection of functions or signals. Several kinds of decomposition are explored: Fourier, Fourier-Legendre, Fourier-Bessel series for 1D signals, and Spherical Harmonic series for…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-11-20 Eric Aristidi

Time series data, including univariate and multivariate ones, are characterized by unique composition and complex multi-scale temporal variations. They often require special consideration of decomposition and multi-scale modeling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shuhan Zhong , Sizhe Song , Weipeng Zhuo , Guanyao Li , Yang Liu , S. -H. Gary Chan

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

The industry is rich in cases when we are required to make forecasting for large amounts of time series at once. However, we might be in a situation where we can not afford to train a separate model for each of them. Such issue in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Kseniia Kuvshinova , Olga Tsymboi , Alina Kostromina , Dmitry Simakov , Elizaveta Kovtun

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee
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