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Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

With the rapid development of modern technology, massive amounts of data with complex pattern are generated. Gaussian process models that can easily fit the non-linearity in data become more and more popular nowadays. It is often the case…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-11 Zhiyong Hu , Dipak Dey

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Active learning methods for emulating complex computer models that rely on stationary Gaussian processes tend to produce design points that uniformly fill the entire experimental region, which can be wasteful for functions which vary only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Shangkun Wang , V. Roshan Joseph

Monte Carlo methods have become increasingly relevant for control of non-differentiable systems, approximate dynamics models and learning from data. These methods scale to high-dimensional spaces and are effective at the non-convex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-10 Joe Watson , Jan Peters

Leveraging the wealth of unlabeled data produced in recent years provides great potential for improving supervised models. When the cost of acquiring labels is high, probabilistic active learning methods can be used to greedily select the…

Bayesian active learning relies on the precise quantification of predictive uncertainty to explore unknown function landscapes. While Gaussian process surrogates are the standard for such tasks, an underappreciated fact is that their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Sanna Jarl , Maria Bånkestad , Jonathan J. S. Scragg , Jens Sjölund

Multiscale modeling is a systematic approach to describe the behavior of complex systems by coupling models from different scales. The approach has been demonstrated to be very effective in areas of science as diverse as materials science,…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Ting Wang , Kenneth W. Leiter , Petr Plechac , Jaroslaw Knap

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Sparse Gaussian processes and various extensions thereof are enabled through inducing points, that simultaneously bottleneck the predictive capacity and act as the main contributor towards model complexity. However, the number of inducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-27 Anders Kirk Uhrenholt , Valentin Charvet , Bjørn Sand Jensen

This paper discusses a general framework for smoothing parameter estimation for models with regular likelihoods constructed in terms of unknown smooth functions of covariates. Gaussian random effects and parametric terms may also be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood , Natalya Pya , Benjamin Säfken

The test bench time needed for model-based calibration can be reduced with active learning methods for test design. This paper presents an improved strategy for active output selection. This is the task of learning multiple models in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-12 Adrian Prochaska , Julien Pillas , Bernard Bäker

Active learning is proposed for selection of the next operating points in the design of experiments, for identifying linear parameter-varying systems. We extend existing approaches found in literature to multiple-input multiple-output…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-05 Robert Chin , Alejandro I. Maass , Nalika Ulapane , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames , Dragan Nešić , Jonathan E. Rowe , Hayato Nakada

We propose a learning-based approach for the sparse Gaussian Elimination. There are many hard combinatorial optimization problems in modern sparse solver. These NP-hard problems could be handled in the framework of Markov Decision Process,…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-10-01 Yingshi Chen

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We propose new methods for multivariate linear regression when the regression coefficient matrix is sparse and the error covariance matrix is dense. We assume that the error covariance matrix has equicorrelation across the response…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-13 Daeyoung Ham , Bradley S. Price , Adam J. Rothman

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts