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Participant noncompliance, in which participants do not follow their assigned treatment protocol, often obscures the causal relationship between treatment and treatment effect in randomized trials. In the longitudinal setting, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-09 Ross L Peterson , David M Vock , Joseph S Koopmeiners

Causal inference is crucial for understanding the true impact of interventions, policies, or actions, enabling informed decision-making and providing insights into the underlying mechanisms that shape our world. In this paper, we establish…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Jingyue Huang , Changbao Wu , Leilei Zeng

We develop a new approach for identifying and estimating average causal effects in panel data under a linear factor model with unmeasured confounders. Compared to other methods tackling factor models such as synthetic controls and matrix…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Guido Imbens , Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao

One obstacle to ``elevating" correlation to causation is the phenomenon of confounding, i.e., when a correlation between two variables exists because both variables are in fact caused by a third variable. The situation where the confounders…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Caren Marzban , Yikun Zhang , Nicholas Bond , Michael Richman

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Propensity score trimming, which discards subjects with propensity scores below a threshold, is a common way to address positivity violations that complicate causal effect estimation. However, most works on trimming assume treatment is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-31 Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

This study investigates treatment effect estimation in the semi-supervised setting, also can be interpreted as prediction-powered inference. In our setting, we can use not only the standard triple of covariates, treatment indicator, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Masahiro Kato

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

This manuscript unites causal inference and spatial statistics, presenting novel insights for causal inference in spatial data analysis, and drawing from tools in spatial statistics to estimate causal effects. We introduce spatial causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Srijata Samanta

Estimation of average treatment effects on the treated (ATT) is an important topic of causal inference in econometrics and statistics. This problem seems to be often treated as a simple modification or extension of that of estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Heng Shu , Zhiqiang Tan

Survey weighting allows researchers to account for bias in survey samples, due to unit nonresponse or convenience sampling, using measured demographic covariates. Unfortunately, in practice, it is impossible to know whether the estimated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Erin Hartman , Melody Huang

Despite the risk of misspecification they are tied to, parametric models continue to be used in statistical practice because they are accessible to all. In particular, efficient estimation procedures in parametric models are simple to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-01 Marco Carone , Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Many useful parameters depend on nonparametric first steps. Examples include games, dynamic discrete choice, average exact consumer surplus, and treatment effects. Often estimators of these parameters are asymptotically equivalent to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-29 Hidehiko Ichimura , Whitney K. Newey

Existing effect measures for compositional features are inadequate for many modern applications, for example, in microbiome research, since they display traits such as high-dimensionality and sparsity that can be poorly modelled with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Anton Rask Lundborg , Niklas Pfister

Unmeasured confounding can severely bias causal effect estimates from spatiotemporal observational data, especially when the confounders do not vary smoothly in time and space. In this work, we develop a method for addressing unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Jiaxi Wu , Alexander Franks

In this paper the estimation of the distribution function for potential outcomes to receiving or not receiving a treatment is studied. The approach is based on weighting observed data on the basis on estimated propensity score. A weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Pier Luigi Conti , Livia De Giovanni

Estimating an individual treatment effect (ITE) is essential to personalized decision making. However, existing methods for estimating the ITE often rely on unconfoundedness, an assumption that is fundamentally untestable with observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Mingzhang Yin , Claudia Shi , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Inferring causal relationships between variable pairs in the observational study is crucial but challenging, due to the presence of unmeasured confounding. While previous methods employed the negative controls to adjust for the confounding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Yong Wu , Yanwei Fu , Shouyan Wang , Yizhou Wang , Xinwei Sun

We propose an improved estimator of the complier average causal effect (CACE). Researchers typically choose a presumably-unbiased estimator for the CACE in studies with noncompliance, when many other lower-variance estimators may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-13 Denis Agniel , Bing Han , Matthew Cefalu

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt