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Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

Interpretability has become incredibly important as machine learning is increasingly used to inform consequential decisions. We propose to construct global explanations of complex, blackbox models in the form of a decision tree…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-28 Osbert Bastani , Carolyn Kim , Hamsa Bastani

Random forests is a state-of-the-art supervised machine learning method which behaves well in high-dimensional settings although some limitations may happen when $p$, the number of predictors, is much larger than the number of observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Louis Capitaine , Robin Genuer , Rodolphe Thiébaut

This study proposed an exhaustive stable/reproducible rule-mining algorithm combined to a classifier to generate both accurate and interpretable models. Our method first extracts rules (i.e., a conjunction of conditions about the values of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-03 Margaux Luck , Nicolas Pallet , Cecilia Damon

Random Forests are one of the most popular classifiers in machine learning. The larger they are, the more precise is the outcome of their predictions. However, this comes at a cost: their running time for classification grows linearly with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-24 Frederik Gossen , Bernhard Steffen

Problem definition. In retailing, discrete choice models (DCMs) are commonly used to capture the choice behavior of customers when offered an assortment of products. When estimating DCMs using transaction data, flexible models (such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Ningyuan Chen , Guillermo Gallego , Zhuodong Tang

Random forests are a statistical learning technique that use bootstrap aggregation to average high-variance and low-bias trees. Improvements to random forests, such as applying Lasso regression to the tree predictions, have been proposed in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Jing Shang , James Bannon , Benjamin Haibe-Kains , Robert Tibshirani

An important issue when using Machine Learning algorithms in recent research is the lack of interpretability. Although these algorithms provide accurate point predictions for various learning problems, uncertainty estimates connected with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-11 Burim Ramosaj

Regression models for supervised learning problems with a continuous target are commonly understood as models for the conditional mean of the target given predictors. This notion is simple and therefore appealing for interpretation and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-09 Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

The potential lack of fairness in the outputs of machine learning algorithms has recently gained attention both within the research community as well as in society more broadly. Surprisingly, there is no prior work developing tree-induction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-25 Edward Raff , Jared Sylvester , Steven Mills

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown exceptional performance in text processing. Notably, LLMs can synthesize information from large datasets and explain their decisions similarly to human reasoning through a chain of thought (CoT). An…

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

The ability to interpret machine learning models has become increasingly important now that machine learning is used to inform consequential decisions. We propose an approach called model extraction for interpreting complex, blackbox…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-14 Osbert Bastani , Carolyn Kim , Hamsa Bastani

Despite outstanding contribution to the significant progress of Artificial Intelligence (AI), deep learning models remain mostly black boxes, which are extremely weak in explainability of the reasoning process and prediction results.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-11 Sheng Shi , Xinfeng Zhang , Wei Fan

Decision forests are widely used for classification and regression tasks. A lesser known property of tree-based methods is that one can construct a proximity matrix from the tree(s), and these proximity matrices are induced kernels. While…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Sambit Panda , Cencheng Shen , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Tree ensembles (TEs) find a multitude of practical applications. They represent one of the most general and accurate classes of machine learning methods. While they are typically quite concise in representation, their operation remains…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Yacine Izza , Alexey Ignatiev , Xuanxiang Huang , Peter J. Stuckey , Joao Marques-Silva

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

Tree ensemble models like random forests and gradient boosting machines are widely used in machine learning due to their excellent predictive performance. However, a high-performance ensemble consisting of a large number of decision trees…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Zebin Yang , Agus Sudjianto , Xiaoming Li , Aijun Zhang