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Variational inference (VI) is a computationally efficient and scalable methodology for approximate Bayesian inference. It strikes a balance between accuracy of uncertainty quantification and practical tractability. It excels at generative…

Variational representations of divergences and distances between high-dimensional probability distributions offer significant theoretical insights and practical advantages in numerous research areas. Recently, they have gained popularity in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-25 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) has been widely applied in large scale Bayesian inference. However MFVI, which assumes a product distribution on the latent variables, often leads to objective functions with many local optima, making…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-03 Mingzhang Yin , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Purnamrita Sarkar

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

We study the variational inference problem of minimizing a regularized R\'enyi divergence over an exponential family. We propose to solve this problem with a Bregman proximal gradient algorithm. We propose a sampling-based algorithm to…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-17 Thomas Guilmeau , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

One of the core problems in variational inference is a choice of approximate posterior distribution. It is crucial to trade-off between efficient inference with simple families as mean-field models and accuracy of inference. We propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-21 Evgenii Egorov , Kirill Neklydov , Ruslan Kostoev , Evgeny Burnaev

Backdoor adjustment is a technique in causal inference for estimating interventional quantities from purely observational data. For example, in medical settings, backdoor adjustment can be used to control for confounding and estimate the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-11 Daniel Israel , Aditya Grover , Guy Van den Broeck

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

Key to effective generic, or "black-box", variational inference is the selection of an approximation to the target density that balances accuracy and speed. Copula models are promising options, but calibration of the approximation can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-01 Michael Stanley Smith , Rubén Loaiza-Maya

In many scientific applications, uncertainty of estimates from an earlier (upstream) analysis needs to be propagated in subsequent (downstream) Bayesian analysis, without feedback. Cutting feedback methods, also termed cut-Bayes, achieve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Jiafang Song , Sandipan Pramanik , Abhirup Datta

This paper is concerned with a lesser-studied problem in the context of model-based, uncertainty quantification (UQ), that of optimization/design/control under uncertainty. The solution of such problems is hindered not only by the usual…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-17 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

The expressiveness of flow-based models combined with stochastic variational inference (SVI) has expanded the application of optimization-based Bayesian inference to highly complex problems. However, despite the importance of multi-model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Laurence Davies , Dan Mackinlay , Rafael Oliveira , Scott A. Sisson

Sampling and Variational Inference (VI) are two large families of methods for approximate inference that have complementary strengths. Sampling methods excel at approximating arbitrary probability distributions, but can be inefficient. VI…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Richard D. Lange , Ari Benjamin , Ralf M. Haefner , Xaq Pitkow

The main computational challenge in Bayesian inference is to compute integrals against a high-dimensional posterior distribution. In the past decades, variational inference (VI) has emerged as a tractable approximation to these integrals,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-09 Anya Katsevich , Philippe Rigollet

Given an intractable target density $p$, variational inference (VI) attempts to find the best approximation $q$ from a tractable family $Q$. This is typically done by minimizing the exclusive Kullback-Leibler divergence, $\text{KL}(q||p)$.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Charles C. Margossian , Lawrence K. Saul

With a surge of large-scale pre-trained models, parameter-efficient transfer learning (PETL) of large models has garnered significant attention. While promising, they commonly rely on two optimistic assumptions: 1) full access to the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Changdae Oh , Gyeongdeok Seo , Geunyoung Jung , Zhi-Qi Cheng , Hosik Choi , Jiyoung Jung , Kyungwoo Song

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

In the popular approach of "Bayesian variable selection" (BVS), one uses prior and posterior distributions to select a subset of candidate variables to enter the model. A completely new direction will be considered here to study BVS with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-11-03 Wenxin Jiang , Martin A. Tanner

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is an increasingly used methodology where several proposal densities are used to approximate integrals, generally involving target probability density functions. The use of several proposals allows for a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-12 Rahul Mukerjee , Víctor Elvira

Reconstructing the evolutionary history relating a collection of molecular sequences is the main subject of modern Bayesian phylogenetic inference. However, the commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be inefficient due to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Tianyu Xie , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard , Cheng Zhang
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