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Generalised regression estimation allows one to make use of available auxiliary information in survey sampling. We develop three types of generalised regression estimator when the auxiliary data cannot be matched perfectly to the sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Li-Chun Zhang

Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from personalized medicine to customized marketing recommendations -- require an understanding of treatment effect heterogeneity. In this paper, we develop a non-parametric causal forest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

We address the problem of finding influential training samples for a particular case of tree ensemble-based models, e.g., Random Forest (RF) or Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT). A natural way of formalizing this problem is studying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-14 Boris Sharchilev , Yury Ustinovsky , Pavel Serdyukov , Maarten de Rijke

Boosting is a method for finding a highly accurate hypothesis by linearly combining many ``weak" hypotheses, each of which may be only moderately accurate. Thus, boosting is a method for learning an ensemble of classifiers. While boosting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Sai Saketh Rambhatla , Michael Jones , Rama Chellappa

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Boosting is a learning scheme that combines weak prediction rules to produce a strong composite estimator, with the underlying intuition that one can obtain accurate prediction rules by combining "rough" ones. Although boosting is proved to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-07 Shaobo Lin , Yao Wang , Lin Xu

We show that the byproducts of the standard training process of a random forest yield not only the well known and almost computationally free out-of-bag point estimate of the model generalization error, but also give a direct path to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-14 Paulo C. Marques F

Causal effect estimation aims at estimating the Average Treatment Effect as well as the Conditional Average Treatment Effect of a treatment to an outcome from the available data. This knowledge is important in many safety-critical domains,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Ioannis E. Livieris , Christos Diou

Many tasks use data housed in relational databases to train boosted regression tree models. In this paper, we give a relational adaptation of the greedy algorithm for training boosted regression trees. For the subproblem of calculating the…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-07-28 Sonia Cromp , Alireza Samadian , Kirk Pruhs

Domain generalization is a popular machine learning technique that enables models to perform well on the unseen target domain, by learning from multiple source domains. Domain generalization is useful in cases where data is limited,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-01-10 Yuyang Sun , Panagiotis Kosmas

The manuscript develops new method and theory for non-linear regression for binary dependent data using random forests. Existing implementations of random forests for binary data cannot explicitly account for data correlation common in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Arkajyoti Saha , Abhirup Datta

We propose methods for density estimation and data synthesis using a novel form of unsupervised random forests. Inspired by generative adversarial networks, we implement a recursive procedure in which trees gradually learn structural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-14 David S. Watson , Kristin Blesch , Jan Kapar , Marvin N. Wright

We develop a tree boosting algorithm for collider measurements of multiple Wilson coefficients in effective field theories describing phenomena beyond the standard model of particle physics. The design of the discriminant exploits per-event…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2022-05-27 Suman Chatterjee , Stefan Rohshap , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz

We present a new tree boosting algorithm designed for the measurement of parameters in the context of effective field theory (EFT). To construct the algorithm, we interpret the optimized loss function of a traditional decision tree as the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2022-05-25 Suman Chatterjee , Nikolaus Frohner , Lukas Lechner , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

We present a new algorithm for boosting generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) that allows to incorporate stability selection, an increasingly popular way to obtain stable sets of covariates while controlling the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-16 Janek Thomas , Andreas Mayr , Bernd Bischl , Matthias Schmid , Adam Smith , Benjamin Hofner

Extreme quantile regression provides estimates of conditional quantiles outside the range of the data. Classical quantile regression performs poorly in such cases since data in the tail region are too scarce. Extreme value theory is used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-22 Jasper Velthoen , Clément Dombry , Juan-Juan Cai , Sebastian Engelke

Explainable boosting machines (EBMs) are popular "glass-box" models that learn a set of univariate functions using boosting trees. These achieve explainability through visualizations of each feature's effect. However, unlike linear model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Jonathan Pipping-Gamon , Giles Hooker