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In this paper, I explored how a range of regression and machine learning techniques can be applied to monthly U.S. unemployment data to produce timely forecasts. I compared seven models: Linear Regression, SGDRegressor, Random Forest,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Kyungsu Kim

Forecasting crop yields is important for food security, in particular to predict where crop production is likely to drop. Climate records and remotely-sensed data have become instrumental sources of data for crop yield forecasting systems.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-29 Michele Meroni , François Waldner , Lorenzo Seguini , Hervé Kerdiles , Felix Rembold

Designing robust systems for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. Even more challenging is to build a system for constructing an optimum portfolio of stocks based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Weather forecasting benefits us in various ways from farmers in cultivation and harvesting their crops to airlines to schedule their flights. Weather forecasting is a challenging task due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Therefore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Eranga De Saa , Lochandaka Ranathunga

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

Crop yield prediction is one of the tasks of Precision Agriculture that can be automated based on multi-source periodic observations of the fields. We tackle the yield prediction problem using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) trained on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Giorgio Morales , John W. Sheppard

Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global environmental changes, accurately predicting and meeting renewable energy demands has become a key challenge for sustainable business development. Traditional energy demand forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Te Li , Mengze Zhang , Yan Zhou

This study proposes a novel approach to ensemble prediction, called "covariate-dependent stacking" (CDST). Unlike traditional stacking and model averaging methods, CDST allows model weights to vary flexibly as a function of covariates,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-29 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Short term electricity price forecast is essential in competitive power markets, yet electricity price series exhibit high volatility, irregularity, and non-stationarity. This phenomenon is pronounced in the South Australian region of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Wei Lu , Jay Wang , Dingli Duan , Ding Mao , Caiyi Song , John Huang

Climate change is posing new challenges to crop-related concerns including food insecurity, supply stability and economic planning. As one of the central challenges, crop yield prediction has become a pressing task in the machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-25 Joshua Fan , Junwen Bai , Zhiyun Li , Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Carla P. Gomes

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

The recent surge in Deep Learning (DL) research of the past decade has successfully provided solutions to many difficult problems. The field of quantitative analysis has been slowly adapting the new methods to its problems, but due to…

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

In this paper, we presents a novel hierarchical federated learning architecture specifically designed for smart agricultural production systems and crop yield prediction. Our approach introduces a seasonal subscription mechanism where farms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Anas Abouaomar , Mohammed El hanjri , Abdellatif Kobbane , Anis Laouiti , Khalid Nafil

We present a deep learning approach for forecasting short-term employment changes and assessing long-term industry health using labor market data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Our system leverages a Long- and Short-Term…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-04 Adam Nelson-Archer , Aleia Sen , Meena Al Hasani , Sofia Davila , Jessica Le , Omar Abbouchi

In this paper, we present SSDNet, a novel deep learning approach for time series forecasting. SSDNet combines the Transformer architecture with state space models to provide probabilistic and interpretable forecasts, including trend and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Yang Lin , Irena Koprinska , Mashud Rana

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Understanding regional Consumer Price Index (CPI) dynamics is essential for timely and effective economic policymaking. However, traditional modeling procedures typically rely only on parametric panel modeling with low-frequency and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-09 Tianchen Gao , Ao Sun , Yurou Wang , Jingyuan Liu , Cheng Hsiao

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of reinforcement learning and deep learning, with numerous applications ranging from efficient exploration and stable offline reinforcement learning to outlier detection in medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Moritz A. Zanger , Pascal R. Van der Vaart , Wendelin Böhmer , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

The maturity classification of specialty crops such as strawberries and tomatoes is an essential agricultural downstream activity for selective harvesting and quality control (QC) at production and packaging sites. Recent advancements in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 Usman A. Zahidi , Krystian Łukasik , Grzegorz Cielniak