中文
相关论文

相关论文: Predicting Sunspot Numbers for Solar Cycles 25 and…

200 篇论文

The Maunder Minimum (MM) was a period of prolonged solar activity minimum between 1645 and 1715. Several works have identified a significant number of problematic spotless days in the MM included in existing databases. We have found a list…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-08 V. M. S. Carrasco , H. Hayakawa , C. Kuroyanagi , M. C. Gallego , J. M. Vaquero

In this study, we used two methods to investigate the periodic behavior of sunspot counts in four categories for the time period January 1986-October 2013. These categories include the counts from simple (A and B), medium (C), large (D, E,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2014-07-23 A. Kilcik , A. Ozguc , V. B. Yurchyshyn , J. P. Rozelot

We have measured the meridional motions of the magnetic elements in the Sun's surface layers since 1996 and find systematic and substantial variations. In general the meridional flow speed is fast at cycle minima and slow at cycle maxima.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-19 David H. Hathaway , Lisa Upton

A new prediction technique based on logarithmic values is proposed to predict the maximum amplitude (Rm) of a solar cycle from the preceding minimum aa geomagnetic index (aamin). The correlation between lnRm and lnaamin (r = 0.92) is…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2011-10-28 Z. L. Du

Aims: Although the time of the Maunder minimum (1645--1715) is widely known as a period of extremely low solar activity, claims are still debated that solar activity during that period might still have been moderate, even higher than the…

Based on the data from the Kodaikanal and Mount Wilson observatories, we investigate the relationships of the tilt angle of sunspot group (SG), including the mean tilt angle and the tilt-angle scatter, during the declining phase with the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-10-30 P. X. Gao , J. C. Xu

The 11-yr cycle of sunspots undergo amplitude modulation over longer timescales. As a part of this long-term modulation in solar activity, the decennial rhythm occasionally breaks, with quiescent phases with very few sunspots observed over…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-09-05 Chitradeep Saha , Sanghita Chandra , Dibyendu Nandy

Prediction of the solar cycle is challenging but essential because it drives space weather. Several predictions with varying amplitudes of the ongoing Cycle~25 have been made. We show that an aspect of the Waldmeier effect (WE2), i.e., a…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-05-24 Pawan Kumar , Akash Biswas , Bidya Binay Karak

Numerical simulations that reproduce solar-like magnetic cycles can be used to generate long-term statistics. The variations in N-S hemispheric cycle synchronicity and amplitude produced in simulations has not been widely compared to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2014-11-27 Aimee A. Norton , Paul Charbonneau , Dario Passos

An analysis of the tilt angles of the active regions in 15-24 activity cycles was performed. We used data from measurements of magnetic fields in the sunspot umbra in the period 1918 -2019 at the Mount Wilson Observatory, as well as the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-09-24 Andrey Tlatov

Numerous analyses suggest the existence of various quasi-periodicities in solar activity. The power spectrum of solar activity recorded in sunspot data is dominated by the $\sim$11-year quasi-periodicity, known as the Schwabe cycle. In the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 P. Frick , D. Sokoloff , R. Stepanov , V. Pipin , I. Usoskin

Solar cycle is modeled as a forced and damped harmonic oscillator and the amplitudes, frequencies, phases and decay factors of such a harmonic oscillator are estimated by non-linear fitting the equation of sinusoidal and transient parts to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-12 K M Hiremath

We analyzed temporal and periodic behavior of sunspot counts (SSCs) in flaring (C, M, or X class flares), and non-flaring active regions (ARs) for the almost two solar cycles (1996 through 2016). Our main findings are as follows: i) The…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-04-25 A. Kilcik , V. Yurchyshyn , B. Donmez , V. N. Obridko , A. Ozguc , J. P. Rozelot

The Sun's variability is controlled by the progression and interaction of the magnetized systems that form the 22-year magnetic activity cycle (the "Hale Cycle'') as they march from their origin at $\sim$55 degrees latitude to the equator,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-07 Robert Leamon , Scott McIntosh , Alan Title

Over the past century, the Sun's activity -- which exhibits significant variations -- went through a phase known as the Modern Maximum. Notably, the strongest sunspot cycle on record during this period, and indeed since direct sunspot…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-08-20 Shaonwita Pal , Dibyendu Nandy

Geomagnetic activity has two main peaks in the 11-year sunspot cycle caused by two types of solar agents: coronal mass ejections and high speed solar wind streams, whose variations in number and intensity are related to the variations in…

空间物理 · 物理学 2007-12-20 K. Georgieva , B. Kirov

In this paper we analyze the behavior of the daily Sunspot Number from the Sunspot Index Data Center (SIDC), the mean Magnetic Field strength from the National Solar Observatory/Kitt Peak (NSO/KP) and Total Solar Irradiance means from…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2010-09-28 D. B. de Freitas , J. R. De Medeiros

The extension of the sunspot number series backward in time is of considerable interest for dynamo theory, solar, stellar, and climate research. We have used records of the Be-10 concentration in polar ice to reconstruct the average sunspot…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ilya G. Usoskin , Sami K. Solanki , Manfred Schuessler , Kalevi Mursula , Katja Alanko

The frequency, $\nu_{\rm max}$, at which the envelope of pulsation power peaks for solar-like oscillators is an important quantity in asteroseismology. We measure $\nu_{\rm max}$ for the Sun using 25 years of Sun-as-a-Star Doppler velocity…

Variations in the solar wind (SW) parameters with scales of several years are an important characteristic of solar activity and the basis for a long-term space weather forecast. We examine the behavior of interplanetary parameters over…

‹ 上一页 1 8 9 10 下一页 ›