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相关论文: Revisiting Non-Specific Syndromic Surveillance

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Anomaly detection is the task of identifying abnormal behavior of a system. Anomaly detection in computational workflows is of special interest because of its wide implications in various domains such as cybersecurity, finance, and social…

The early detection of anomalous events in time series data is essential in many domains of application. In this paper we deal with critical health events, which represent a significant cause of mortality in intensive care units of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

In the absence of drugs and vaccines, policymakers use non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing to decrease rates of disease-causing contact, with the aim of reducing or delaying the epidemic peak. These measures carry…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-22 Dylan H. Morris , Fernando W. Rossine , Joshua B. Plotkin , Simon A. Levin

In this paper, we explore whether the infection-rate of a disease can serve as a robust monitoring variable in epidemiological surveillance algorithms. The infection-rate is dependent on population mixing patterns that do not vary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Wyatt Bridgman , Cosmin Safta , Jaideep Ray

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Predictability of undesired events is a question of great interest in many scientific disciplines including seismology, economy, and epidemiology. Here, we focus on the predictability of invasion of a broad class of epidemics caused by…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-10-08 Francisco J. Perez-Reche , Franco M. Neri , Sergei N. Taraskin , Christopher A. Gilligan

In this review, we recall the concepts of Identifiability and Observability of dynamical systems, and analyse them in the framework of Mathematical Epidemiology. We show that, even for simple and well known models of the literature, these…

Extreme events, such as market crashes, natural disasters, and pandemics, are rare but catastrophic, often triggering cascading failures across interconnected systems. Accurate prediction and early warning can help minimize losses and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Jingyi Gu , Xuan Zhang , Guiling Wang

As developing countries continue to face challenges associated with infectious diseases, the need to improve infrastructure to systematically collect data which can be used to understand their outbreak patterns becomes more critical. The…

Individual-level epidemic models are increasingly being used to help understand the transmission dynamics of various infectious diseases. However, fitting such models to individual-level epidemic data is challenging, as we often only know…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Dirk Douwes-Schultz , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Precision medicine, tailored to individual patients based on their genetics, environment, and lifestyle, shows promise in managing complex diseases like infections. Integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into precision medicine can…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2023-07-31 Ghizal fatima , Risala H. Allami , Maitham G. Yousif

Infectious disease is a leading threat to public health, economic stability, and other key social structures. Efforts to mitigate these impacts depend on accurate and timely monitoring to measure the risk and progress of disease.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-04-03 Nicholas Generous , Geoffrey Fairchild , Alina Deshpande , Sara Y. Del Valle , Reid Priedhorsky

Anomaly detection methods can be very useful in identifying unusual or interesting patterns in data. A recently proposed conditional anomaly detection framework extends anomaly detection to the problem of identifying anomalous patterns on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Michal Valko , Gregory Cooper , Amy Seybert , Shyam Visweswaran , Melissa Saul , Miloš Hauskrecht

Interaction patterns among individuals play vital roles in spreading infectious diseases. Understanding these patterns and integrating their impact in modeling diffusion dynamics of infectious diseases are important for epidemiological…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-04-02 Md Shahzamal , Raja Jurdak , Bernard Mans , Ahmad El Shoghri , Frank De Hoog

The emergence of novel infectious agents presents challenges to statistical models of disease transmission. These challenges arise from limited, poor-quality data and an incomplete understanding of the agent. Moreover, outbreaks manifest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-20 Jiasheng Shi , Jeffrey S. Morris , David M. Rubin , Jing Huang

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

Technology evolves quickly. Low-cost and ready-to-connect devices are designed to provide new services and applications. Smart grids or smart healthcare systems are some examples of these applications, all of which are in the context of…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Roberto Magán-Carrión , José Camacho , Gabriel Maciá-Fernández , Ángel Ruíz-Zafra

Accurate forecasts for COVID-19 are necessary for better preparedness and resource management. Specifically, deciding the response over months or several months requires accurate long-term forecasts which is particularly challenging as the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-10 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

Anomaly detection is concerned with identifying data patterns that deviate remarkably from the expected behaviour. This is an important research problem, due to its broad set of application domains, from data analysis to e-health,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 L. Erhan , M. Ndubuaku , M. Di Mauro , W. Song , M. Chen , G. Fortino , O. Bagdasar , A. Liotta

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

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