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Continuous-time event sequences play a vital role in real-world domains such as healthcare, finance, online shopping, social networks, and so on. To model such data, temporal point processes (TPPs) have emerged as the most natural and…

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

Any human activity can be represented as a temporal sequence of actions performed to achieve a certain goal. Unlike machine-made time series, these action sequences are highly disparate as the time taken to finish a similar action might…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

Event data consisting of time of occurrence of the events arises in several real-world applications. Recent works have introduced neural network based point processes for modeling event-times, and were shown to provide state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-20 Manisha Dubey , Ragja Palakkadavath , P. K. Srijith

Time series forecasting is crucial in strategic planning and decision-making across various industries. Traditional forecasting models mainly concentrate on numerical time series data, often overlooking important textual information such as…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Chanjuan Liu , Shengzhi Wang , Enqiang Zhu

Temporal point process serves as an essential tool for modeling time-to-event data in continuous time space. Despite having massive amounts of event sequence data from various domains like social media, healthcare etc., real world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-04 Manisha Dubey , P. K. Srijith , Maunendra Sankar Desarkar

Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) are the prevalent paradigm for modeling continuous-time event sequences, such as user activities on the web and financial transactions. In real-world applications, event data is typically received in a…

Autoregressive neural networks within the temporal point process (TPP) framework have become the standard for modeling continuous-time event data. Even though these models can expressively capture event sequences in a one-step-ahead…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 David Lüdke , Marin Biloš , Oleksandr Shchur , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Predicting irregularly spaced event sequences with discrete marks poses significant challenges due to the complex, asynchronous dependencies embedded within continuous-time data streams.Existing sequential approaches capture dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Yuxiang Liu , Qiao Liu , Tong Luo , Yanglei Gan , Peng He , Yao LIu

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing…

Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary modeling paradigm is to treat such data as realizations of a temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Padhraic Smyth

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Spatio-temporal point process (STPP) is a stochastic collection of events accompanied with time and space. Due to computational complexities, existing solutions for STPPs compromise with conditional independence between time and space,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chenyang Shao , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Video action anticipation aims to predict future action categories from observed frames. Current state-of-the-art approaches mainly resort to recurrent neural networks to encode history information into hidden states, and predict future…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Wen Wang , Xiaojiang Peng , Yanzhou Su , Yu Qiao , Jian Cheng

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as weather forecasting, power load forecasting, and financial analysis. In recent studies, MLP-mixer models for time series forecasting have been shown as a promising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad , Mehmet Aktukmak , Yasin Yilmaz

Individual mobility prediction is an essential task for transportation demand management and traffic system operation. There exist a large body of works on modeling location sequence and predicting the next location of users; however,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-08 Yuankai Wu , Zhanhong Cheng , Lijun Sun