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Recent work has considered natural variations of the multi-armed bandit problem, where the reward distribution of each arm is a special function of the time passed since its last pulling. In this direction, a simple (yet widely applicable)…

The online semi-random graph process is a one-player game which starts with the empty graph on $n$ vertices. At every round, a player (called Builder) is presented with a vertex $v$ chosen uniformly at random and independently from previous…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-07-18 Sofiya Burova , Lyuben Lichev

Trees or rooted trees have been generously studied in the literature. A forest is a set of trees or rooted trees. Here we give recurrence relations between the number of some kind of rooted forest with $k$ roots and that with $k+1$ roots on…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-02-08 Song Guo , Victor J. W. Guo

Simple stochastic games can be solved by value iteration (VI), which yields a sequence of under-approximations of the value of the game. This sequence is guaranteed to converge to the value only in the limit. Since no stopping criterion is…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Edon Kelmendi , Julia Krämer , Jan Kretinsky , Maximilian Weininger

We give a probabilistic analysis for the randomized game tree evaluation algorithm of Snir. We first show that there exists an input such that the running time, measured as the number of external nodes read by the algorithm, on that input…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Tämur Ali Khan , Ralph Neininger

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complex stochastic models, where it is easy to simulate from the models, but impossible to calculate likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method of inference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-14 Paul Fearnhead , Dennis Prangle

The p-adic numbers have found applications in a wide range of diverse fields of research. In some applications the algebraic properties of p-adics enter as an indispensable ingredient of the theory. Another class of applications has to do…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Sergio Albeverio , Witold Karwowski

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

The purpose of this paper is to analyze certain statistics of a recently introduced non-uniform random tree model, biased recursive trees. This model is based on constructing a random tree by establishing a correspondence with non-uniform…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-16 Ella Hiesmayr , Ümit Işlak

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models when the likelihood function is numerically unavailable. However, the well-established statistical method of empirical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-05 K. L. Mengersen , P. Pudlo , C. P. Robert

Recently proposed budding tree is a decision tree algorithm in which every node is part internal node and part leaf. This allows representing every decision tree in a continuous parameter space, and therefore a budding tree can be jointly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-12-22 Ozan İrsoy , Ethem Alpaydın

In this paper a general class of tree algorithms is analyzed. It is shown that, by using an appropriate probabilistic representation of the quantities of interest, the asymptotic behavior of these algorithms can be obtained quite easily…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Hanène Mohamed , Philippe Robert

We present a method for incorporating a stochastic point of view into physics exercises of mathematics education. The core of our method is the randomization of some inputs, the system model used does not differ from what we would use in…

物理教育 · 物理学 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy , Imre Kocsis , Csaba Gábor Kézi

We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

In this article we consider several probabilistic processes defining random grapha. One of these processes appeared recently in connection with a factorization problem in the symmetric group. For each of the probabilistic processes, we…

组合数学 · 数学 2015-01-07 Olivier Bernardi , Alejandro H. Morales

In late May of 2014 I received an email from a colleague introducing to me a non-transitive game developed by Walter Penney. This paper explores this probability game from the perspective of a coin tossing game, and further discusses some…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-10 James Brofos

We develop a new method for stochastic optimization using the Bayesian statistics approach. More precisely, we optimize parameters of chess engines as those data are available to us, but the method should apply to all situations where we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-06 Ivan Ivec , Ivana Vojnović

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

An accumulator is a bet that presents a rather unique payout structure, in that it combines multiple bets into a wager that can generate a total payout given by the multiplication of the individual odds of its parts. These potentially…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-04-21 Nassim Dehouche

We define a notion of stochastic domination between trees, where one tree dominates another if when the vertices of each are labeled with independent, identically distributed random variables, one tree is always more likely to contain a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres