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This paper argues the need for research to realize uncertainty-aware artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI\&ML) systems for decision support by describing a number of motivating scenarios. Furthermore, the paper defines…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-09-24 Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Murat Sensoy , Alun Preece , Paul Sullivan

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems accelerate medical workflows and improve diagnostic accuracy in healthcare, serving as second-opinion systems. However, the unpredictability of AI errors poses a significant challenge, particularly in…

Deep learning (DL) models have received particular attention in medical imaging due to their promising pattern recognition capabilities. However, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) require a huge amount of data, and because of the lack of…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-27 Donya Khaledyan , AmirReza Tajally , Ali Sarkhosh , Afshar Shamsi , Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Abbas Khosravi , Saeid Nahavandi

This paper describes the design and development of a preliminary qualitative coding tool as well as a method to improve the process of achieving inter-coder reliability (ICR) in small teams. Software applications that support qualitative…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2019-01-01 Abbas Ganji , Mania Orand , David W. McDonald

This paper presents a groundbreaking self-improving interference management framework tailored for wireless communications, integrating deep learning with uncertainty quantification to enhance overall system performance. Our approach…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Hyun-Suk Lee , Do-Yup Kim , Kyungsik Min

Reliable inference requires that artificial intelligence (AI) models provide trustworthy uncertainty estimates, not merely accurate predictions. Recent advances in Bayesian learning have made significant progress toward this goal, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Jiayi Huang

While neural networks have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, accurately quantifying uncertainty in their predictions is essential to ensure their trustworthiness and enable widespread adoption in critical systems.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Joseph Wilson , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Fred Roosta

Uncertainty calibration is crucial for various machine learning applications, yet it remains challenging. Many models exhibit hallucinations - confident yet inaccurate responses - due to miscalibrated confidence. Here, we show that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Jeonghwan Cheon , Se-Bum Paik

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

In an educational setting, an estimate of the difficulty of multiple-choice questions (MCQs), a commonly used strategy to assess learning progress, constitutes very useful information for both teachers and students. Since human assessment…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-21 Leonidas Zotos , Hedderik van Rijn , Malvina Nissim

Reinforcement learning agents are faced with two types of uncertainty. Epistemic uncertainty stems from limited data and is useful for exploration, whereas aleatoric uncertainty arises from stochastic environments and must be accounted for…

Contemporary undertakings provide limitless opportunities for widespread application of machine reasoning and artificial intelligence in situations characterised by uncertainty, hostility and sheer volume of data. The paper develops a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-05 Branko Ristic , Alessio Benavoli , Sanjeev Arulampalam

Uncertainty quantification is a set of techniques that measure confidence in language models. They can be used, for example, to detect hallucinations or alert users to review uncertain predictions. To be useful, these confidence scores must…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Lorenzo Jaime Yu Flores , Cesare Spinoso di-Piano , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning (ML) models is a foundational challenge in modern data analysis. This challenge is compounded by at least two key aspects of the field: (a) inconsistent terminology surrounding uncertainty and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Shubhendu Trivedi , Brian D. Nord

Deep neural networks have significantly contributed to the success in predictive accuracy for classification tasks. However, they tend to make over-confident predictions in real-world settings, where domain shifting and out-of-distribution…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Yibo Hu , Latifur Khan

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the…

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

In this paper, we leverage predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks to answer challenging questions material scientists usually encounter in machine learning based materials applications workflows. First, we show that by leveraging…

材料科学 · 物理学 2021-04-26 Jize Zhang , Bhavya Kailkhura , T. Yong-Jin Han

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is an important building block for the reliable use of neural networks in real-world scenarios, as it can be a useful tool in identifying faulty predictions. Speech emotion recognition (SER) models can suffer…

声音 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Oliver Schrüfer , Manuel Milling , Felix Burkhardt , Florian Eyben , Björn Schuller