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To address the challenges of reliability analysis in high-dimensional probability spaces, this paper proposes a new metamodeling method that couples active subspace, heteroscedastic Gaussian process, and active learning. The active subspace…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Jungho Kim , Ziqi Wang , Junho Song

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

We consider the problem of learning the level set for which a noisy black-box function exceeds a given threshold. To efficiently reconstruct the level set, we investigate Gaussian process (GP) metamodels. Our focus is on strongly stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Xiong Lyu , Mickael Binois , Michael Ludkovski

When fitting Bayesian machine learning models on scarce data, the main challenge is to obtain suitable prior knowledge and encode it into the model. Recent advances in meta-learning offer powerful methods for extracting such prior knowledge…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-17 Vincent Fortuin , Heiko Strathmann , Gunnar Rätsch

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty propagation studies, global sensitivity analysis or to solve optimization problems. A well known and widely used method to circumvent this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-04-06 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Francois Van Dorpe , Elena Volkova

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Data availability has dramatically increased in recent years, driving model-based control methods to exploit learning techniques for improving the system description, and thus control performance. Two key factors that hinder the practical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-22 Elena Arcari , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

One approach for interpreting black-box machine learning models is to find a global approximation of the model using simple interpretable functions, which is called a metamodel (a model of the model). Approximating the black-box with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Mahed Abroshan , Saumitra Mishra , Mohammad Mahdi Khalili

We demonstrate how the Gaussian process regression approach can be used to efficiently reconstruct free energy surfaces from umbrella sampling simulations. By making a prior assumption of smoothness and taking account of the sampling noise…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-07-25 Thomas Stecher , Noam Bernstein , Gábor Csányi

In this paper an efficient and reliable method for stochastic yield estimation is presented. Since one main challenge of uncertainty quantification is the computational feasibility, we propose a hybrid approach where most of the Monte Carlo…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Machine learning of multi-dimensional potential energy surfaces, from purely ab initio datasets, has seen substantial progress in the past years. Gaussian processes, a popular regression method, have been very successful at producing…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-01-11 Fabio E. A. Albertani , Alex J. W. Thom

We formulate meta learning using information theoretic concepts; namely, mutual information and the information bottleneck. The idea is to learn a stochastic representation or encoding of the task description, given by a training set, that…

Regression is an essential and fundamental methodology in statistical analysis. The majority of the literature focuses on linear and nonlinear regression in the context of the Euclidean space. However, regression models in non-Euclidean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Jinzhao Liu , Chao Liu , Jian Qing Shi , Tom Nye

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev
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