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We present a boosting-based method to learn additive Structural Equation Models (SEMs) from observational data, with a focus on the theoretical aspects of determining the causal order among variables. We introduce a family of score…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-15 Maximilian Kertel , Nadja Klein

This paper reviews recent developments in statistical structure learning; namely, Bayesian model reduction. Bayesian model reduction is a method for rapidly computing the evidence and parameters of probabilistic models that differ only in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Karl Friston , Thomas Parr , Peter Zeidman

The causal inference literature has increasingly recognized that explicitly targeting treatment effect heterogeneity can lead to improved scientific understanding and policy recommendations. Towards the same ends, studying the causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Angela Ting , Antonio R. Linero

Structural equation modeling (SEM) and path analysis have long been central tools for studying complex causal relationships in the social and behavioral sciences, yet their reliance on parametric assumptions can lead to biased inference…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Junjie Ma , Xiaoya Zhang , Guangye He , Yuting Han , Ting Ge , Feng Ji

In this paper, the relationship between probabilistic graphical models, in particular Bayesian networks, and causal diagrams, also called structural causal models, is studied. Structural causal models are deterministic models, based on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Peter J. F. Lucas , Eleonora Zullo , Fabio Stella

Causal Bayesian networks have become a powerful technology for reasoning under uncertainty in areas that require transparency and explainability, by relying on causal assumptions that enable us to simulate hypothetical interventions. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Anthony C. Constantinou , Zhigao Guo , Neville K. Kitson

Bayesian networks are a powerful framework for studying the dependency structure of variables in a complex system. The problem of learning Bayesian networks is tightly associated with the given data type. Ordinal data, such as stages of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-15 Xiang Ge Luo , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Structural-equations models (SEMs) are perhaps the most commonly used framework for modeling causality. However, as we show, naively extending this framework to infinitely many variables, which is necessary, for example, to model dynamical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Spencer Peters , Joseph Y. Halpern

Causal graphical models can encode large amounts structural knowledge, both from the background knowledge of domain experts and the structural knowledge discovered from randomized experiments or observational data. However, though we may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Katherine Avery , Chinmay Pendse , David Jensen

Semi-structured regression models enable the joint modeling of interpretable structured and complex unstructured feature effects. The structured model part is inspired by statistical models and can be used to infer the input-output…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Daniel Dold , David Rügamer , Beate Sick , Oliver Dürr

Bayesian learning has emerged as a compelling and vital research direction in the field of structural dynamics, offering a probabilistic lens to understand and refine the analysis of complex dynamical systems. This review meticulously…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-06-03 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Yuan-Wei Yin , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

The quality of requirements specifications may impact subsequent, dependent software engineering (SE) activities. However, empirical evidence of this impact remains scarce and too often superficial as studies abstract from the phenomena…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Julian Frattini , Davide Fucci , Richard Torkar , Daniel Mendez

In recent years there has been a flurry of works on learning Bayesian networks from data. One of the hard problems in this area is how to effectively learn the structure of a belief network from incomplete data- that is, in the presence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Nir Friedman

Computational and mathematical models rely heavily on estimated parameter values for model development. Identifiability analysis determines how well the parameters of a model can be estimated from experimental data. Identifiability analysis…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-02-12 Marissa Renardy , Denise Kirschner , Marisa Eisenberg

The causal effect of a randomized job training program, the JOBS II study, on trainees' depression is evaluated. Principal stratification is used to deal with noncompliance to the assigned treatment. Due to the latent nature of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-13 Alessandra Mattei , Fan Li , Fabrizia Mealli

Many real-world systems can be usefully represented as sets of interacting components. Examples include computational systems, such as query processors and compilers, natural systems, such as cells and ecosystems, and social systems, such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Purva Pruthi , David Jensen

The problem we consider considers estimating a multivariate longitudinal panel data model whose outcomes can be a combination of discrete and continuous variables. This problem is challenging because the likelihood is usually analytically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-26 David Gunawan , Chris carter , Denzil Fiebig , Robert Kohn

Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) systematically validated hierarchical pathways among multiple factors by constructing a dual framework integrating latent variable measurement and path analysis, utilizing covariance matrices derived from…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-04 Ruofeng Rao

Structured Latent Attribute Models (SLAMs) are a family of discrete latent variable models widely used in education, psychology, and epidemiology to model multivariate categorical data. A SLAM assumes that multiple discrete latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-12 Yuqi Gu , Gongjun Xu