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We investigate a machine learning approach to option Greeks approximation based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogates. The method takes in noisily observed option prices, fits a nonparametric input-output map and then analytically…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-17 Mike Ludkovski , Yuri Saporito

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

The recent development of statistical methods that can distinguish between stellar activity and dynamical signals in radial velocity (RV) observations has facilitated the discovery and characterization of planets orbiting young stars. One…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-25 Quang H. Tran , Brendan P. Bowler

In many clinical trials treatments need to be repeatedly applied as diseases relapse frequently after remission over a long period of time (e.g., 35 weeks). Most research in statistics focuses on the overall trial design, such as sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-01 Yanxun Xu , Yuan Ji

Safety is a critical issue in learning-based robotic and autonomous systems as learned information about their environments is often unreliable and inaccurate. In this paper, we propose a risk-aware motion control tool that is robust…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-03-06 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

Geostatistics is a branch of statistics concerned with stochastic processes over continuous domains, with Gaussian processes (GPs) providing a flexible and principled modelling framework. However, the high computational cost of simulating…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Gareth O. Roberts

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems, so called recurrent models are frequently used. In this paper…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

Geostatistical analysis of health data is increasingly used to model spatial variation in malaria prevalence, burden, and other metrics. Traditional inference methods for geostatistical modelling are notoriously computationally intensive,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-04 Spencer Wong , Jennifer A. Flegg , Nick Golding , Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-05 Lukas Hewing , Elena Arcari , Lukas P. Fröhlich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper presents a solution for persistent monitoring of real-world stochastic phenomena, where the underlying covariance structure changes sharply across time, using a small number of mobile robot sensors. We propose an adaptive…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-04-30 Sahil Garg , Nora Ayanian

Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to…

Gaussian processes (GP) are Bayesian non-parametric models that are widely used for probabilistic regression. Unfortunately, it cannot scale well with large data nor perform real-time predictions due to its cubic time cost in the data size.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Jie Chen , Nannan Cao , Kian Hsiang Low , Ruofei Ouyang , Colin Keng-Yan Tan , Patrick Jaillet

Gaussian processes (GP) are Bayesian non-parametric models that are widely used for probabilistic regression. Unfortunately, it cannot scale well with large data nor perform real-time predictions due to its cubic time cost in the data size.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-05-27 Jie Chen , Nannan Cao , Kian Hsiang Low , Ruofei Ouyang , Colin Keng-Yan Tan , Patrick Jaillet

Solving hydrologic inverse problems usually requires repetitive forward simulations. One approach to mitigate the computational cost is to build a surrogate model, i.e., an approximate mapping from model parameters (input) to observable…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-06-17 Jiangjiang Zhang , Weixuan Li

This paper presents a probabilistic surrogate model for the accelerated design of electric vehicle battery enclosures with a focus on crash performance. The study integrates high-throughput finite element simulations and Gaussian Process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-08 Shadab Anwar Shaikh , Harish Cherukuri , Kranthi Balusu , Ram Devanathan , Ayoub Soulami

While a typical supervised learning framework assumes that the inputs and the outputs are measured at the same levels of granularity, many applications, including global mapping of disease, only have access to outputs at a much coarser…

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao