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This article investigates whether the Federal Reserve Chair strategically controls facial expressions during FOMC press conferences and how these nonverbal cues affect financial markets. I use facial recognition technology on videos of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-29 Hunter Ng

This paper introduces a transparent framework to identify the informational content of FOMC announcements. We do so by modelling the expectations of the FOMC and private sector agents using state of the art computational linguistic tools on…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-12 Yong Cai , Santiago Camara , Nicholas Capel

Communication is now a standard tool in the central bank's monetary policy toolkit. Theoretically, communication provides the central bank an opportunity to guide public expectations, and it has been shown empirically that central bank…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-26 Ancil Crayton

Recent developments in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve has created a need for an objective method of communication analysis.Using methods developed for text analysis, we present a novel technique of analysis which creates a semantic…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-05-22 Harish Gandhi Ramachandran , Dan DeRose

This study emphasizes how crucial it is to visualize machine learning models, especially for the banking industry, in order to improve interpretability and support predictions in high stakes financial settings. Visual tools enable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Priyam Ganguly , Ramakrishna Garine , Isha Mukherjee

Videoconferencing is now a frequent mode of communication in both professional and informal settings, yet it often lacks the fluidity and enjoyment of in-person conversation. This study leverages multimodal machine learning to predict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Andrew Chang , Viswadruth Akkaraju , Ray McFadden Cogliano , David Poeppel , Dustin Freeman

Synchronous data-rich conversations are commonplace within enterprise organizations, taking place at varying degrees of formality between stakeholders at different levels of data literacy. In these conversations, representations of data are…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 Matthew Brehmer

Visual Question and Answering (VQA) problems are attracting increasing interest from multiple research disciplines. Solving VQA problems requires techniques from both computer vision for understanding the visual contents of a presented…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-04-07 Ilija Ilievski , Shuicheng Yan , Jiashi Feng

The Federal Open Market Committee within the Federal Reserve System is responsible for managing inflation, maximizing employment, and stabilizing interest rates. Meeting minutes play an important role for market movements because they…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-09-05 Yifei Wang

Creating fair opportunities for all participants to contribute is a notable challenge in video conferencing. This paper introduces FairTalk, a system that facilitates the subconscious redistribution of speaking opportunities. FairTalk…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Ryo Iijima , Shigeo Yoshida , Atsushi Hashimoto , Jiaxin Ma

This paper introduces a novel methodology for index return forecasting, blending highly correlated stock prices, advanced deep learning techniques, and intricate factor integration. Departing from conventional cap-weighted approaches, our…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-06 Tian Tian , Ricky Cooper , Jiahao Deng , Qingquan Zhang

Every publicly traded company in the US is required to file an annual 10-K financial report, which contains a wealth of information about the company. In this paper, we propose an explainable deep-learning model, called FinBERT-XRC, that…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-12-19 Xue Wen Tan , Stanley Kok

In meetings where important decisions get made, what items receive more attention may influence the outcome. We examine how different types of rhetorical (de-)emphasis -- including hedges, superlatives, and contrastive conjunctions --…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-12-21 Chenhao Tan , Lillian Lee

Deliberation plays a crucial role in shaping outcomes by weighing diverse perspectives before reaching decisions. With recent advancements in Natural Language Processing, it has become possible to computationally model deliberation by…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Rakesh Thakur , Harsh Chaturvedi , Ruqayya Shah , Janvi Chauhan , Ayush Sharma

We address the problem of extracting structured representations of economic events from a large corpus of news articles, using a combination of natural language processing and machine learning techniques. The developed techniques allow for…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2017-09-19 Jan R. Benetka , Krisztian Balog , Kjetil Nørvåg

Monetary policy pronouncements by Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are a major driver of financial market returns. We construct the largest tokenized and annotated dataset of FOMC speeches, meeting minutes, and press conference…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Agam Shah , Suvan Paturi , Sudheer Chava

Finance-related news such as Bloomberg News, CNN Business and Forbes are valuable sources of real data for market screening systems. In news, an expert shares opinions beyond plain technical analyses that include context such as political,…

In quantitative investing, return prediction supports various tasks, including stock selection, portfolio optimization, and risk management. Quantitative factors, such as valuation, quality, and growth, capture various characteristics of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-26 Tian Guo , Emmanuel Hauptmann

Earnings conference calls are significant information events for volatility forecasting, which is essential for financial risk management and asset pricing. Although some recent volatility forecasting models have utilized the textual…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Yunxin Sang , Yang Bao

Child Forensic Interviewing (FI) presents a challenge for effective information retrieval and decision making. The high stakes associated with the process demand that expert legal interviewers are able to effectively establish a channel of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-06-13 Victor Ardulov , Manoj Kumar , Shanna Williams , Thomas Lyon , Shrikanth Narayanan
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