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Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

Sequential diagnosis prediction on the Electronic Health Record (EHR) has been proven crucial for predictive analytics in the medical domain. EHR data, sequential records of a patient's interactions with healthcare systems, has numerous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-08 Xueping Peng , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Sen Wang , Jing Jiang

Recent outbreak of COVID-19 has led a rapid global spread around the world. Many countries have implemented timely intensive suppression to minimize the infections, but resulted in high case fatality rate (CFR) due to critical demand of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-08 Po Yang , Jun Qi , Xulong Wang , Yun Yang

The increasing availability of temporal network data is calling for more research on extracting and characterizing mesoscopic structures in temporal networks and on relating such structure to specific functions or properties of the system.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-02-04 Laetitia Gauvin , André Panisson , Ciro Cattuto

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

The customary perspective to reason about epidemic mitigation in temporal networks hinges on the identification of nodes with specific features or network roles. The ensuing individual-based control strategies, however, are difficult to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-01-13 Laetitia Gauvin , André Panisson , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Understanding the spatio-temporal patterns of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is essential to construct public health interventions. Spatially referenced data can provide richer opportunities to understand the mechanism of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Jaewoo Park , Seorim Yi , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a formidable global health challenge, driven by complex spatiotemporal transmission dynamics and influenced by factors such as population mobility and behavioral changes. We propose an Epidemic-Guided Deep Learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Madhab Barman , Madhurima Panja , Nachiketa Mishra , Tanujit Chakraborty

Epidemiological models are best suitable to model an epidemic if the spread pattern is stationary. To deal with non-stationary patterns and multiple waves of an epidemic, we develop a hybrid model encompassing epidemic modeling, particle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

With the covid-19 pandemic still ongoing and an enormous amount of test data available, the lessons learned over the last two years need to be developed to a point where they can provide understanding for tackling new variants and future…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-09 Adam Mielke

Clinical forecasting based on electronic medical records (EMR) can uncover the temporal correlations between patients' conditions and outcomes from sequences of longitudinal clinical measurements. In this work, we propose an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-05 Yuan Xue , Denny Zhou , Nan Du , Andrew Dai , Zhen Xu , Kun Zhang , Claire Cui

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

Most machine learning methods assume fixed probability distributions, limiting their applicability in nonstationary real-world scenarios. While continual learning methods address this issue, current approaches often rely on black-box models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Yan V. G. Ferreira , Igor B. Lima , Pedro H. G. Mapa S. , Felipe V. Campos , Antonio P. Braga

This study presents a new risk-averse multi-stage stochastic epidemics-ventilator-logistics compartmental model to address the resource allocation challenges of mitigating COVID-19. This epidemiological logistics model involves the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Xuecheng Yin , I. Esra Buyuktahtakin , Bhumi P. Patel

Classical epidemiological models assume homogeneous populations. There have been important extensions to model heterogeneous populations, when the identity of the sub-populations is known, such as age group or geographical location. Here,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Roberto Vega , Zehra Shah , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner

The study of epidemic models plays an important role in mathematical epidemiology. There are many researches on epidemic models using ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations or stochastic differential equations. In…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-10 Yuqi Li , Lihua Zhang

Rich Electronic Health Records (EHR), have created opportunities to improve clinical processes using machine learning methods. Prediction of the same patient events at different time horizons can have very different applications and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Hao Liu , Muhan Zhang , Zehao Dong , Lecheng Kong , Yixin Chen , Bradley Fritz , Dacheng Tao , Christopher King

This work introduces a tensor-based method to perform supervised classification on spatiotemporal data processed in an echo state network. Typically when performing supervised classification tasks on data processed in an echo state network,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-25 Ashley Prater