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Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

Informatics and technological advancements have triggered generation of huge volume of data with varied complexity in its management and analysis. Big Data analytics is the practice of revealing hidden aspects of such data and making…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2018-03-30 Bikram Karmakar , Indranil Mukhopadhyay

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

In this paper, we propose standard statistical tools as a solution to commonly highlighted problems in the explainability literature. Indeed, leveraging statistical estimators allows for a proper definition of explanations, enabling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Valentina Ghidini

Interest in problems of statistical inference connected to measurements of quantum systems has recently increased substantially, in step with dramatic new developments in experimental techniques for studying small quantum systems.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2011-11-09 O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen , R. D. Gill , P. E. Jupp

Online data has the potential to transform how researchers and companies produce election forecasts. Social media surveys, online panels and even comments scraped from the internet can offer valuable insights into political preferences.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-20 Alberto Arletti , Maria Letizia Tanturri , Omar Paccagnella

Bootstrapping and other resampling methods are increasingly appearing in the textbooks and curricula of courses that introduce undergraduate students to statistical methods. In order to teach the bootstrap well, students and instructors…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Njesa Totty , James Molyneux , Claudio Fuentes

The concepts of Bayesian prediction, model comparison, and model selection have developed significantly over the last decade. As a result, the Bayesian community has witnessed a rapid growth in theoretical and applied contributions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-07 Yann McLatchie , Sölvi Rögnvaldsson , Frank Weber , Aki Vehtari

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical…

In the past two decades, psychological science has experienced an unprecedented replicability crisis which uncovered several issues. Among others, statistical inference is too often viewed as an isolated procedure limited to the analysis of…

Integrating data from multiple heterogeneous sources has become increasingly popular to achieve a large sample size and diverse study population. This paper reviews development in causal inference methods that combines multiple datasets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Xu Shi , Ziyang Pan , Wang Miao

Discovering relevant, but possibly hidden, variables is a key step in constructing useful and predictive theories about the natural world. This brief note explains the connections between three approaches to this problem: the recently…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

The use of statistical software in academia and enterprises has been evolving over the last years. More often than not, students, professors, workers, and users, in general, have all had, at some point, exposure to statistical software.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Rui Portocarrero Sarmento , Vera Costa

Bayesian statistics has gained great momentum since the computational developments of the 1990s. Gradually, advances in Bayesian methodology and software have made Bayesian techniques much more accessible to applied statisticians and, in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Jim Albert , Jingchen Hu

Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Timothy E. Holy

Simulation methods are among the most ubiquitous methodological tools in statistical science. In particular, statisticians often is simulation to explore properties of statistical functionals in models for which developed statistical theory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Tyrel Stokes , Ian Shrier , Russell Steele

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complex stochastic models, where it is easy to simulate from the models, but impossible to calculate likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method of inference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-14 Paul Fearnhead , Dennis Prangle

Boosting algorithms to simultaneously estimate and select predictor effects in statistical models have gained substantial interest during the last decade. This review article aims to highlight recent methodological developments regarding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-19 Andreas Mayr , Harald Binder , Olaf Gefeller , Matthias Schmid

In the era of big data, analysts usually explore various statistical models or machine learning methods for observed data in order to facilitate scientific discoveries or gain predictive power. Whatever data and fitting procedures are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh , Yuhong Yang

In statistical inference, retrodiction is the act of inferring potential causes in the past based on knowledge of the effects in the present and the dynamics leading to the present. Retrodiction is applicable even when the dynamics is not…

范畴论 · 数学 2024-02-01 Arthur J. Parzygnat