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Bayesian hierarchical models are a methodology for aggregation and synthesis of data from heterogeneous settings, used widely in statistics and other disciplines. I apply this framework to the evidence from 7 randomized experiments of…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-07-14 Rachael Meager

Heterogeneous treatment effects are of major interest in economics. For example, a poverty reduction measure would be best evaluated by its effects on those who would be poor in the absence of the treatment, or by the share among the poor…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-07 Tetsuya Kaji , Jianfei Cao

Globally, two billion people and more than half of the poorest adults do not use formal financial services. Consequently, there is increased emphasis on developing financial technology that can facilitate access to financial products for…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-01-30 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo , Carlos Sarraute , Bart Baesens , Jan Vanthienen

Most existing notions of algorithmic fairness are one-shot: they ensure some form of allocative equality at the time of decision making, but do not account for the adverse impact of the algorithmic decisions today on the long-term welfare…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-06-28 Hoda Heidari , Vedant Nanda , Krishna P. Gummadi

We consider the task of evaluating policies of algorithmic resource allocation through randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Such policies are tasked with optimizing the utilization of limited intervention resources, with the goal of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Aditya Mate , Bryan Wilder , Aparna Taneja , Milind Tambe

Growing use of machine learning in policy and social impact settings have raised concerns for fairness implications, especially for racial minorities. These concerns have generated considerable interest among machine learning and artificial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-15 Kit T. Rodolfa , Hemank Lamba , Rayid Ghani

Observed events in recommendation are consequence of the decisions made by a policy, thus they are usually selectively labeled, namely the data are Missing Not At Random (MNAR), which often causes large bias to the estimate of true outcomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Zifeng Wang , Xi Chen , Rui Wen , Shao-Lun Huang

Microfinance, despite its significant potential for poverty reduction, is facing sustainability hardships due to high default rates. Although many methods in regular finance can estimate credit scores and default probabilities, these…

Recent conversations in the algorithmic fairness literature have raised several concerns with standard conceptions of fairness. First, constraining predictive algorithms to satisfy fairness benchmarks may lead to non-optimal outcomes for…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Aurora Zhang , Annette Hosoi

The increasing usage of new data sources and machine learning (ML) technology in credit modeling raises concerns with regards to potentially unfair decision-making that rely on protected characteristics (e.g., race, sex, age) or other…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Savina Kim , Stefan Lessmann , Galina Andreeva , Michael Rovatsos

Based on interactions between individuals and others and references to social norms, this study reveals the impact of heterogeneity in time preference on wealth distribution and inequality. We present a novel approach that connects the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-15 Takeshi Kato

We consider a model of contagion in financial networks recently introduced in the literature, and we characterize the effect of a few features empirically observed in real networks on the stability of the system. Notably, we consider the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-09-07 Fabio Caccioli , Thomas A. Catanach , J. Doyne Farmer

As financial institutions increasingly rely on machine learning models to automate lending decisions, concerns about algorithmic fairness have risen. This paper explores the tradeoff between enforcing fairness constraints (such as…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-06-05 Aayam Bansal

Algorithmic lending has transformed the consumer credit landscape, with complex machine learning models now commonly used to make or assist underwriting decisions. To comply with fair lending laws, these algorithms typically exclude legally…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Madison Coots , Robert Bartlett , Julian Nyarko , Sharad Goel

Deploying an algorithmically informed policy is a significant intervention in society. Prominent methods for algorithmic fairness focus on the distribution of predictions at the time of training, rather than the distribution of social goods…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Sebastian Zezulka , Konstantin Genin

This paper proposes a framewrok for analyzing how the welfare effects of policy interventions are distributed across individuals when those effects are unobserved. Rather than focusing solely on average outcomes, the approach uses readily…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-25 Costas Lambros , Emerson Melo

Machine learning is increasingly used to select which individuals receive limited-resource interventions in domains such as human services, education, development, and more. However, it is often not apparent what the right quantity is for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Vibhhu Sharma , Bryan Wilder

Public and private institutions must often allocate scare resources under uncertainty. Banks, for example, extend credit to loan applicants based in part on their estimated likelihood of repaying a loan. But when the quality of information…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-10-11 William Cai , Johann Gaebler , Nikhil Garg , Sharad Goel

Humans have developed considerable machinery used at scale to create policies and to distribute incentives, yet we are forever seeking ways in which to improve upon these, our institutions. Especially when funding is limited, it is…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Theodor Cimpeanu , Francisco C Santos , The Anh Han

The advent of powerful prediction algorithms led to increased automation of high-stake decisions regarding the allocation of scarce resources such as government spending and welfare support. This automation bears the risk of perpetuating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-07 Matthias Kuppler , Christoph Kern , Ruben L. Bach , Frauke Kreuter
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