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Survivors of childhood cancer need lifelong monitoring for side effects from radiotherapy. However, longitudinal data from routine monitoring is often infrequently and irregularly sampled, and subject to inaccuracies. Due to this,…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a…

Density modeling is notoriously difficult for high dimensional data. One approach to the problem is to search for a lower dimensional manifold which captures the main characteristics of the data. Recently, the Gaussian Process Latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-07-14 Hannes Nickisch , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Because of its mathematical tractability, the Gaussian mixture model holds a special place in the literature for clustering and classification. For all its benefits, however, the Gaussian mixture model poses problems when the data is skewed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-19 Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Paul D. McNicholas , Volodymyr Melnykov , Xuwen Zhu

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a gold standard for performance in online settings, such as sample-efficient control and black box optimization, where we need to update a posterior distribution as we acquire data in a sequential fashion.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-03 Samuel Stanton , Wesley J. Maddox , Ian Delbridge , Andrew Gordon Wilson

A Gaussian process (GP) is a powerful and widely used regression technique. The main building block of a GP regression is the covariance kernel, which characterizes the relationship between pairs in the random field. The optimization to…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-01-05 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Shandian Zhe , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Training and inference in Gaussian processes (GPs) require solving linear systems with $n\times n$ kernel matrices. To address the prohibitive $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ time complexity, recent work has employed fast iterative methods, like…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Kaiwen Wu , Jonathan Wenger , Haydn Jones , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Deep Gaussian process models typically employ discrete hierarchies, but recent advancements in differential Gaussian processes (DiffGPs) have extended these models to infinite depths. However, existing DiffGP approaches often overlook the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

We introduce the concept of conjugate prior models for a given likelihood function in Bayesian spatial inversion. The conjugate class of prior models can be selection extended and still remain conjugate. We demonstrate the generality of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-06 Henning Omre , Kjartan Rimstad

Reliable prediction of protein variant effects is crucial for both protein optimization and for advancing biological understanding. For practical use in protein engineering, it is important that we can also provide reliable uncertainty…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2024-11-01 Peter Mørch Groth , Mads Herbert Kerrn , Lars Olsen , Jesper Salomon , Wouter Boomsma

Recent works have revealed that infinitely-wide feed-forward or recurrent neural networks of any architecture correspond to Gaussian processes referred to as Neural Network Gaussian Processes (NNGPs). While these works have extended the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Hyungi Lee , Eunggu Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

A mixture of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions is introduced and used for clustering and classification. A variant of the EM algorithm is developed for parameter estimation by exploiting the relationship with the general inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-09 Brian C. Franczak , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

This study introduces an innovative Gaussian Process (GP) model utilizing an ensemble kernel that integrates Radial Basis Function (RBF), Rational Quadratic, and Mat\'ern kernels for product sales forecasting. By applying Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Shahin Mirshekari , Negin Hayeri Motedayen , Mohammad Ensaf

Gaussian Process (GP) models are often used as mathematical approximations of computationally expensive experiments. Provided that its kernel is suitably chosen and that enough data is available to obtain a reasonable fit of the simulator,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-03-22 Nicolas Durrande , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant

Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-20 Jackson Zhou , Clara Grazian , John Ormerod

Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and widely used probabilistic regression models, but their effectiveness in practice is often limited by the choice of kernel function. This kernel function is typically handcrafted from a small set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Sebastian Ament , Louis C. Tiao , David Eriksson , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are highly expressive, probabilistic models. A major limitation is their computational complexity. Naively, exact GP inference requires $\mathcal{O}(N^3)$ computations with $N$ denoting the number of modeled points.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-23 Gordian Edenhofer , Reimar H. Leike , Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Finite mixture models have become a popular tool for clustering. Amongst other uses, they have been applied for clustering longitudinal data and clustering high-dimensional data. In the latter case, a latent Gaussian mixture model is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-17 Vanessa S. E. Bierling , Paul D. McNicholas

Reliable 4D aircraft trajectory prediction, whether in a real-time setting or for analysis of counterfactuals, is important to the efficiency of the aviation system. Toward this end, we first propose a highly generalizable efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-01 Yulin Liu , Mark Hansen