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The Gaussian Process Convolution Model (GPCM; Tobar et al., 2015a) is a model for signals with complex spectral structure. A significant limitation of the GPCM is that it assumes a rapidly decaying spectrum: it can only model smooth…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Wessel P. Bruinsma , Martin Tegnér , Richard E. Turner

Uncertainty estimation is essential for robust decision-making in the presence of ambiguous or out-of-distribution inputs. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are classical kernel-based models that offer principled uncertainty quantification and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Albert Saiapin , Kim Batselier

The signature kernel is a kernel between time series of arbitrary length and comes with strong theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis. It has found applications in machine learning such as covariance functions for Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Csaba Tóth , Masaki Adachi , Michael A. Osborne , Harald Oberhauser

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) are an extension of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting multiple output variables (also called channels, tasks) simultaneously. In this paper we use the convolution theorem to design a new kernel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-11 Kai Chen , Twan van Laarhoven , Perry Groot , Jinsong Chen , Elena Marchiori

We study Spatial Logistic Gaussian Process (SLGP) models for non-parametric estimation of probability density fields using scattered samples of heterogeneous sizes. SLGPs are examined from the perspective of random measures and their…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-20 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger

Bayesian computation of high dimensional linear regression models with a popular Gaussian scale mixture prior distribution using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or its variants can be extremely slow or completely prohibitive due to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-12 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Aaron Scheffler

Choosing a proper set of kernel functions is an important problem in learning Gaussian Process (GP) models since each kernel structure has different model complexity and data fitness. Recently, automatic kernel composition methods provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Anh Tong , Toan Tran , Hung Bui , Jaesik Choi

Gaussian processes offer an attractive framework for predictive modeling from longitudinal data, i.e., irregularly sampled, sparse observations from a set of individuals over time. However, such methods have two key shortcomings: (i) They…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-09 Junjie Liang , Yanting Wu , Dongkuan Xu , Vasant Honavar

Skew-Gaussian processes (SkewGPs) extend the multivariate Unified Skew-Normal distributions over finite dimensional vectors to distribution over functions. SkewGPs are more general and flexible than Gaussian processes, as SkewGPs may also…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-28 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

Accurate time series forecasting is crucial for optimizing resource allocation, industrial production, and urban management, particularly with the growth of cyber-physical and IoT systems. However, limited training sample availability in…

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a powerful nonparametric Bayesian framework, but its performance depends critically on the choice of covariance kernel. Selecting an appropriate kernel is therefore central to model quality, yet remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Md Shafiqul Islam , Shakti Prasad Padhy , Douglas Allaire , Raymundo Arróyave

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

A fundamental drawback of kernel-based statistical models is their limited scalability to large data sets, which requires resorting to approximations. In this work, we focus on the popular Gaussian kernel and on techniques to linearize…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-13 Jonas Wacker , Maurizio Filippone

Gaussian processes (GPs) stand as crucial tools in machine learning and signal processing, with their effectiveness hinging on kernel design and hyper-parameter optimization. This paper presents a novel GP linear multiple kernel (LMK) and a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-17 Richard Cornelius Suwandi , Zhidi Lin , Feng Yin , Zhiguo Wang , Sergios Theodoridis

This study seeks to advance the understanding and prediction of stock market return uncertainty through the application of advanced deep learning techniques. We introduce a novel deep learning model that utilizes a Gaussian mixture…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-03-11 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

The multi-view Gaussian process latent variable model (MV-GPLVM) aims to learn a unified representation from multi-view data but is hindered by challenges such as limited kernel expressiveness and low computational efficiency. To overcome…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Zi Yang , Ying Li , Zhidi Lin , Michael Minyi Zhang , Pablo M. Olmos

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…