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Robust causal discovery from observational data under imperfect prior knowledge remains a significant and largely unresolved challenge. Existing methods typically presuppose perfect priors or can only handle specific, pre-identified error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Zidong Wang , Xi Lin , Chuchao He , Xiaoguang Gao

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

We focus on credal nets, which are graphical models that generalise Bayesian nets to imprecise probability. We replace the notion of strong independence commonly used in credal nets with the weaker notion of epistemic irrelevance, which is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-08-17 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Alessandro Antonucci , Marco Zaffalon

We consider the effect of temporal aggregation on instantaneous (non-temporal) causal discovery in general setting. This is motivated by the observation that the true causal time lag is often considerably shorter than the observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Shunxing Fan , Mingming Gong , Kun Zhang

Fair machine learning aims to mitigate the biases of model predictions against certain subpopulations regarding sensitive attributes such as race and gender. Among the many existing fairness notions, counterfactual fairness measures the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Jing Ma , Ruocheng Guo , Mengting Wan , Longqi Yang , Aidong Zhang , Jundong Li

Causal graph discovery is a significant problem with applications across various disciplines. However, with observational data alone, the underlying causal graph can only be recovered up to its Markov equivalence class, and further…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Davin Choo , Kirankumar Shiragur , Caroline Uhler

Heckerman (1993) defined causal independence in terms of a set of temporal conditional independence statements. These statements formalized certain types of causal interaction where (1) the effect is independent of the order that causes are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Heckerman , John S. Breese

Constraint-based causal discovery methods leverage conditional independence tests to infer causal relationships in a wide variety of applications. Just as the majority of machine learning methods, existing work focuses on studying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Siyuan Guo , Viktor Tóth , Bernhard Schölkopf , Ferenc Huszár

To make accurate predictions, understand mechanisms, and design interventions in systems of many variables, we wish to learn causal graphs from large scale data. Unfortunately the space of all possible causal graphs is enormous so scalably…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Alan Nawzad Amin , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Causality plays a central role in understanding interactions between variables in complex systems. These systems often exhibit state-dependent causal relationships, where both the strength and direction of causality vary with the value of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-08-05 Álvaro Martínez-Sánchez , Adrián Lozano-Durán

Structural causal models are the basic modelling unit in Pearl's causal theory; in principle they allow us to solve counterfactuals, which are at the top rung of the ladder of causation. But they often contain latent variables that limit…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

A crucial task for secure communication networks is to determine the minimum of physical requirements to certify a cryptographic protocol. A widely accepted candidate for certification is the principle of relativistic causality which is…

A fundamental challenge in observational causal inference is that assumptions about unconfoundedness are not testable from data. Assessing sensitivity to such assumptions is therefore important in practice. Unfortunately, some existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-15 Alexander Franks , Alexander D'Amour , Avi Feller

Understanding the laws that govern a phenomenon is the core of scientific progress. This is especially true when the goal is to model the interplay between different aspects in a causal fashion. Indeed, causal inference itself is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Alessio Zanga , Elif Ozkirimli , Fabio Stella

Machine learning algorithms can produce biased outcome/prediction, typically, against minorities and under-represented sub-populations. Therefore, fairness is emerging as an important requirement for the large scale application of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Karima Makhlouf , Sami Zhioua , Catuscia Palamidessi

Causal discovery aims to recover ``what causes what'', but classical constraint-based methods (e.g., PC, FCI) suffer from error propagation, and recent LLM-based causal oracles often behave as opaque, confidence-free black boxes. This paper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Ziyi Ding , Chenfei Ye-Hao , Zheyuan Wang , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Robustness to distribution shift and fairness have independently emerged as two important desiderata required of modern machine learning models. While these two desiderata seem related, the connection between them is often unclear in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Maggie Makar , Alexander D'Amour

We propose a constraint-based algorithm, which automatically determines causal relevance thresholds, to infer causal networks from data. We call these topological thresholds. We present two methods for determining the threshold: the first…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-24 Filipe Barroso , Diogo Gomes , Gareth J. Baxter

This article introduces a causal discovery method to learn nonlinear relationships in a directed acyclic graph with correlated Gaussian errors due to confounding. First, we derive model identifiability under the sublinear growth assumption.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Chunlin Li , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Causal inference, especially in observational studies, relies on untestable assumptions about the true data-generating process. Sensitivity analysis helps us determine how robust our conclusions are when we alter these underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Nikita Dhawan , Daniel Shen , Leonardo Cotta , Chris J. Maddison