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Consider the following Stochastic Score Classification Problem. A doctor is assessing a patient's risk of developing a certain disease, and can perform $n$ tests on the patient. Each test has a binary outcome, positive or negative. A…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-06-29 Dimitrios Gkenosis , Nathaniel Grammel , Lisa Hellerstein , Devorah Kletenik

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

Improving algorithms via predictions is a very active research topic in recent years. This paper initiates the systematic study of mechanism design in this model. In a number of well-studied mechanism design settings, we make use of…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-01-13 Chenyang Xu , Pinyan Lu

Defect prediction can be a powerful tool to guide the use of quality assurance resources. However, while lots of research covered methods for defect prediction as well as methodological aspects of defect prediction research, the actual cost…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2019-12-16 Steffen Herbold

While recent models have achieved human-level scores on many NLP datasets, we observe that they are considerably sensitive to small changes in input. As an alternative to the standard approach of addressing this issue by constructing…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Daniel Khashabi , Tushar Khot , Ashish Sabharwal

Some risks have extremely high stakes. For example, a worldwide pandemic or asteroid impact could potentially kill more than a billion people. Comfortingly, scientific calculations often put very low probabilities on the occurrence of such…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-10-31 Toby Ord , Rafaela Hillerbrand , Anders Sandberg

We investigate block designs, under the A- and MV-criteria, when each treatment can have only one or two replications due to resource constraints, as can happen, for example, in early generation varietal trials. While these are commonly…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-25 R. A. Bailey , Rahul Mukerjee

The conclusions of randomized controlled trials may be biased when the outcome of one unit depends on the treatment status of other units, a problem known as interference. In this work, we study interference in the setting of one-sided…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Jennifer Brennan , Vahab Mirrokni , Jean Pouget-Abadie

Large reasoning models (LRMs) often consume excessive tokens, inflating computational cost and latency. More broadly, in goal reaching sequential decision problems we often want to reach the goal quickly, and LRM reasoning can be viewed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Alex Ayoub , Kavosh Asadi , Dale Schuurmans , Csaba Szepesvári , Karim Bouyarmane

Algorithmic recourse provides explanations that help users overturn an unfavorable decision by a machine learning system. But so far very little attention has been paid to whether providing recourse is beneficial or not. We introduce an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Hidde Fokkema , Damien Garreau , Tim van Erven

In observational studies of discrimination, the most common statistical approaches consider either the rate at which decisions are made (benchmark tests) or the success rate of those decisions (outcome tests). Both tests, however, have…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Johann D. Gaebler , Sharad Goel

We study multi-item profit maximization when there is an underlying distribution over buyers' values. In practice, a full description of the distribution is typically unavailable, so we study the setting where the mechanism designer only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Maria-Florina Balcan , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

Variance reduction for causal inference in the presence of network interference is often achieved through either outcome modeling, typically analyzed under unit-randomized Bernoulli designs, or clustered experimental designs, typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Matthew Eichhorn , Samir Khan , Johan Ugander , Christina Lee Yu

Contract scheduling is a general technique that allows to design a system with interruptible capabilities, given an algorithm that is not necessarily interruptible. Previous work on this topic has largely assumed that the interruption is a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-11-26 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali

Human bias is capable of changing the analysis of measured data sufficiently to alter the results of an experiment. It is incumbent upon modern experiments, especially those investigating quantities considered contentious in the broader…

Empirical likelihood enables a nonparametric, likelihood-driven style of inference without restrictive assumptions routinely made in parametric models. We develop a framework for applying empirical likelihood to the analysis of experimental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Eunseop Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

Completely randomized experiments have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference because they can balance all potential confounding on average. However, they may suffer from unbalanced covariates for realized treatment…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-18 Yuhao Wang , Xinran Li

Many approaches for conducting Bayesian inference on discretely observed diffusions involve imputing diffusion bridges between observations. This can be computationally challenging in settings in which the temporal horizon between…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-07 Marcin Mider , Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper considers the construction of minimum aberration (MA) blocked factorial designs. Based on coding theory, the concept of minimum moment aberration due to Xu [Statist. Sinica 13 (2003) 691--708] for unblocked designs is extended to…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Hongquan Xu

In robust decision-making under non-Bayesian uncertainty, different robust optimization criteria, such as maximin performance, minimax regret, and maximin ratio, have been proposed. In many problems, all three criteria are well-motivated…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-20 Jerry Anunrojwong , Santiago R. Balseiro , Omar Besbes