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In low-resource settings, prevalence mapping relies on empirical prevalence data from a finite, often spatially sparse, set of surveys of communities within the region of interest, possibly supplemented by remotely sensed images that can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-27 Peter J. Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser

Models of the spatial distribution of animals provide useful tools to help ecologists quantify species-environment relationships, and they are increasingly being used to help determine the impacts of climate and habitat changes on species.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Joe Watson , Ruth Joy , Dominic Tollit , Sheila J Thornton , Marie Auger-Méthé

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-17 A. C. Davison , S. A. Padoan , M. Ribatet

Extreme environmental phenomena such as major precipitation events manifestly exhibit spatial dependence. Max-stable processes are a class of asymptotically-justified models that are capable of representing spatial dependence among extreme…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-09 Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

This paper is concerned with a contemporary Bayesian approach to the effect of temperature on developmental rates. We develop statistical methods using recent computational tools to model four commonly used ecological non-linear…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Marios Kondakis , Nikolaos Demiris , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Nikos E. Papanikolaou

Data fusion models are widely used in air quality monitoring to integrate in situ and large-scale gridded products, offering spatially complete and temporally detailed estimates. However, traditional Gaussian-based models often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-18 M. Daniela Cuba , Craig Wilkie , Marian Scott , Daniela Castro-Camilo

Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

The statistical modeling of discrete extremes has received less attention than their continuous counterparts in the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) literature. One approach to the transition from continuous to discrete extremes is the modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Touqeer Ahmad , Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

In ecology we may find scenarios where the same phenomenon (species occurrence, species abundance, etc.) is observed using two different types of samplers. For instance, species data can be collected from scientific sampling with a…

We develop Bayesian nonparametric models for spatially indexed data of mixed type. Our work is motivated by challenges that occur in environmental epidemiology, where the usual presence of several confounding variables that exhibit complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-17 Georgios Papageorgiou , Sylvia Richardson , Nicky Best

This research deals with the estimation and imputation of missing data in longitudinal models with a Poisson response variable inflated with zeros. A methodology is proposed that is based on the use of maximum likelihood, assuming that data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-18 D. S. Martinez-Lobo , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

This paper introduces a method for spatial interpolation of extreme values, and in particular targets the case in which conventional data, resulting from a measurement for example, are available at only a few locations. To overcome this the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-13 B. D. Youngman

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

Environmental phenomena are influenced by complex interactions among various factors. For instance, the amount of rainfall measured at different stations within a given area is shaped by atmospheric conditions, orography, and physics of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Paolo Onorati , Antonio Canale

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

We develop new flexible univariate models for light-tailed and heavy-tailed data, which extend a hierarchical representation of the generalized Pareto (GP) limit for threshold exceedances. These models can accommodate departure from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-14 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Evan Kodra , Singdhansu Chatterjee , Stone Chen , Auroop R. Ganguly