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Tree ensemble models such as random forests and boosted trees are among the most widely used and practically successful predictive models in applied machine learning and business analytics. Although such models have been used to make…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-11 Velibor V. Mišić

Using only retrospective data, we study the problem of predicting treatment effects for the same treatment/policy implemented in a different location or time period. We propose a distributionally robust estimator that minimizes the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-29 Ruonan Xu , Xiye Yang

A common goal in observational research is to estimate marginal causal effects in the presence of confounding variables. One solution to this problem is to use the covariate distribution to weight the outcomes such that the data appear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-18 Kevin P. Josey , Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

Data analysis and machine learning have become an integrative part of the modern scientific methodology, providing automated techniques to predict further information based on observations. One of these classification and regression…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-07 Mario Amrehn , Firas Mualla , Elli Angelopoulou , Stefan Steidl , Andreas Maier

Blocking, a special case of rerandomization, is routinely implemented in the design stage of randomized experiments to balance the baseline covariates. This study proposes a regression adjustment method based on the least absolute shrinkage…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

The problem of comparing trees representing the evolutionary histories of cancerous tumors has turned out to be crucial, since there is a variety of different methods which typically infer multiple possible trees. A departure from the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Giulia Bernardini , Paola Bonizzoni , Gianluca Della Vedova , Murray Patterson

The gold standard for identifying causal relationships is a randomized controlled experiment. In many applications in the social sciences and medicine, the researcher does not control the assignment mechanism and instead may rely upon…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Johann Gagnon-Bartsch , Yotam Shem-Tov

We consider an experiment with at least two stages or batches and $O(N)$ subjects per batch. First, we propose a semiparametric treatment effect estimator that efficiently pools information across the batches, and show it asymptotically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

We study predictive probability inference in classification tasks using random forests under class imbalance. We focus on two simplified variants of Breiman's algorithm, namely subsampling Infinite Random Forests (IRFs) and under-sampling…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-23 Moria Mayala , Olivier Wintenberger , Charles Tillier , Clément Dombry

This paper deals with the recoverable robust spanning tree problem under interval uncertainty representations. A polynomial time, combinatorial algorithm for the recoverable spanning tree problem is first constructed. This problem…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-08-30 Mikita Hradovich , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We present an implementation and an experimental evaluation of an algorithm that, given a connected graph G (represented by adjacency lists), estimates in sublinear time, with a relative error, the Minimum Spanning Tree Weight of G; the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-01-30 Gabriele Santi , Leonardo De Laurentiis

In precision medicine, one of the most important problems is estimating the optimal individualized treatment rules (ITR), which typically involves recommending treatment decisions based on fully observed individual characteristics of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Yue Zhang , Shanshan Luo , Zhi Geng , Yangbo He

In observational studies, confounding variables affect both treatment and outcome. Moreover, instrumental variables also influence the treatment assignment mechanism. This situation sets the study apart from a standard randomized controlled…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Atomsa Gemechu Abdisa , Yingchun Zhou , Yuqi Qiu

Healthcare systems are facing serious challenges in balancing their human resources to cope with volatile service demand, while at the same time providing necessary job satisfaction to the healthcare workers. We propose in this paper a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-09 Duy Anh Nguyen

We develop new semiparametric methods for estimating treatment effects. We focus on settings where the outcome distributions may be thick tailed, where treatment effects may be small, where sample sizes are large and where assignment is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Susan Athey , Peter J. Bickel , Aiyou Chen , Guido W. Imbens , Michael Pollmann

Cross-domain alignment play a key roles in tasks ranging from machine translation to transfer learning. Recently, purely unsupervised methods operating on monolingual embeddings have successfully been used to infer a bilingual lexicon…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-09-22 Aissatou Diallo , Johannes Fürnkranz

We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-03 Stefan Wager , Guenther Walther

The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao

Positivity violations, which occur when some subgroups either always or never receive a treatment of interest, pose significant challenges for causal effect estimation with observational data. Recent balancing weight methods have proved to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

Structural learning, a method to estimate the parameters for discrete energy minimization, has been proven to be effective in solving computer vision problems, especially in 3D scene parsing. As the complexity of the models increases,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-01-13 Mengtian Li , Daniel Huber