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Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

The representation of nonlinear sub-grid processes, especially clouds, has been a major source of uncertainty in climate models for decades. Cloud-resolving models better represent many of these processes and can now be run globally but…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-08 Stephan Rasp , Michael S. Pritchard , Pierre Gentine

Subgrid processes in global climate models are represented by parameterizations which are a major source of uncertainties in simulations of climate. In recent years, it has been suggested that machine-learning (ML) parameterizations based…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-27 Peidong Wang , Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

Neural networks are a promising technique for parameterizing sub-grid-scale physics (e.g. moist atmospheric convection) in coarse-resolution climate models, but their lack of interpretability and reliability prevents widespread adoption.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-30 Noah D. Brenowitz , Tom Beucler , Michael Pritchard , Christopher S. Bretherton

Long-term climate projections require running global Earth system models on timescales of hundreds of years and have relatively coarse resolution (from 40 to 160 km in the horizontal) due to their high computational costs. Unresolved…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-02-17 Lorenzo Pastori , Arthur Grundner , Veronika Eyring , Mierk Schwabe

Climate models are complicated software systems that approximate atmospheric and oceanic fluid mechanics at a coarse spatial resolution. Typical climate forecasts only explicitly resolve processes larger than 100 km and approximate any…

Data-driven algorithms, in particular neural networks, can emulate the effect of sub-grid scale processes in coarse-resolution climate models if trained on high-resolution climate simulations. However, they may violate key physical…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-04-21 Tom Beucler , Michael Pritchard , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Rasp

General circulation models (GCMs) typically have a grid size of 25--200 km. Parametrizations are used to represent diabatic processes such as radiative transfer and cloud microphysics and account for sub-grid-scale motions and variability.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-10-23 Noah D Brenowitz , Christopher S Bretherton

In climate simulations, small-scale processes shape ocean dynamics but remain computationally expensive to resolve directly. For this reason, their contributions are commonly approximated using empirical parameterizations, which lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-29 Victor Mangeleer , Gilles Louppe

Due to computational constraints, climate simulations cannot resolve a range of small-scale physical processes, which have a significant impact on the large-scale evolution of the climate system. Parameterization is an approach to capture…

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

Artificial neural-networks have the potential to emulate cloud processes with higher accuracy than the semi-empirical emulators currently used in climate models. However, neural-network models do not intrinsically conserve energy and mass,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-06-18 Tom Beucler , Stephan Rasp , Michael Pritchard , Pierre Gentine

In this study, we improve a neural network (NN) parameterization of deep convection in the global atmosphere model ARP-GEM. To take into account the sporadic nature of convection, we develop a NN parameterization that includes a triggering…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-08 Hugo Germain , Blanka Balogh , Olivier Geoffroy , David Saint-Martin

Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the representation of subgrid-scale processes, particularly…

Climate simulations, at all grid resolutions, rely on approximations that encapsulate the forcing due to unresolved processes on resolved variables, known as parameterizations. Parameterizations often lead to inaccuracies in climate models,…

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

Machine learning (ML) techniques, especially neural networks (NNs), have shown promise in learning subgrid-scale parameterizations for climate models. However, a major problem with data-driven parameterizations, particularly those learned…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-07-17 Hamid A. Pahlavan , Pedram Hassanzadeh , M. Joan Alexander

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

We review some recent methods of subgrid-scale parameterization used in the context of climate modeling. These methods are developed to take into account (subgrid) processes playing an important role in the correct representation of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-01-18 Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem

In this paper we present a new strategy to model the subgrid-scale scalar flux in a three-dimensional turbulent incompressible flow using physics-informed neural networks (NNs). When trained from direct numerical simulation (DNS) data,…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-03-03 Hugo Frezat , Guillaume Balarac , Julien Le Sommer , Ronan Fablet , Redouane Lguensat
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