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The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Very short-term convective storm forecasting, termed nowcasting, has long been an important issue and has attracted substantial interest. Existing nowcasting methods rely principally on radar images and are limited in terms of nowcasting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-11-11 Wei Zhang , Wei Li , Lei Han

Accurate short-term solar and wind power predictions play an important role in the planning and operation of power systems. However, the short-term power prediction of renewable energy has always been considered a complex regression…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-08 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Zhe Yang , Kuangpu Liu

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

The possibilities of organizing an observation service for solar activity in order to provide space weather forecasting are considered. The most promising at this stage is the creation of a ground-based observation network. Such a network…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-03-06 A. G. Tlatov , A. A. Pevtsov

Issuing timely severe weather warnings helps mitigate potentially disastrous consequences. Recent advancements in Neural Weather Models (NWMs) offer a computationally inexpensive and fast approach for forecasting atmospheric environments on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-08-22 Antoine Leclerc , Erwan Koch , Monika Feldmann , Daniele Nerini , Tom Beucler

The problem where a tropical cyclone intensifies dramatically within a short period of time is known as rapid intensification. This has been one of the major challenges for tropical weather forecasting. Recurrent neural networks have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-12 Rohitash Chandra

Our current sampling of the near-Earth space environment is wholly insufficient to measure the highly variable processes therein and make predictions on par with lower atmospheric weather. We sketch out the scientific rationale for a…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-01-12 Ryan Volz , Philip J. Erickson , Scott E. Palo , Jorge L. Chau , Juha Vierinen , Thomas Y. Chen

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Accurate and timely air quality and weather predictions are of great importance to urban governance and human livelihood. Though many efforts have been made for air quality or weather prediction, most of them simply employ one another as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-06 Jindong Han , Hao Liu , Hengshu Zhu , Hui Xiong , Dejing Dou

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Optical turbulence, driven by fluctuations of the atmospheric refractive index, poses a significant challenge to ground-based optical systems, as it distorts the propagation of light. This degradation affects both astronomical observations…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-03-26 Mary Joe Medlej , Rahul Srinivasan , Simon Prunet , Aziz Ziad , Christophe Giordano

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

Erroneous GNSS positioning, failures in spacecraft operations and power outages due to geomagnetically induced currents are severe threats originating from space weather. Having knowledge of potential impacts on modern society in advance is…

空间物理 · 物理学 2021-06-29 Carsten Baumann , Aoife E. McCloskey

Geomagnetic storms, caused by solar wind energy transfer to Earth's magnetic field, can disrupt critical infrastructure like GPS, satellite communications, and power grids. The disturbance storm-time (Dst) index measures storm intensity.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Md Abrar Jahin , M. F. Mridha , Zeyar Aung , Nilanjan Dey , R. Simon Sherratt

A Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) uses a constellation of satellites around the earth for accurate navigation, timing, and positioning. Natural phenomena like space weather introduce irregularities in the Earth's ionosphere,…

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…