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Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

We develop and analyze a method for stochastic simulation optimization based on Gaussian process models within a trust-region framework. We focus on settings where the variance of the objective function is large, making accurate estimation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-10 Mickael Binois , Jeffrey Larson

Yield curve forecasting is an important problem in finance. In this work we explore the use of Gaussian Processes in conjunction with a dynamic modeling strategy, much like the Kalman Filter, to model the yield curve. Gaussian Processes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-07 Rajiv Sambasivan , Sourish Das

The integration of advanced technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), into manufacturing processes is attracting significant attention, paving the way for the development of intelligent systems that enhance efficiency and…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Mohammadhossein Ghahramani , Yan Qiao , NaiQi Wu , Mengchu Zhou

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

Many statistical problems involve optimization over a discrete parameter space having an unknown dimension. In such settings, gradient-based methods often fail due to the non-differentiability of the objective function or a non-convex or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Mo Li , QiQi Lu , Robert Lund , Xueheng Shi

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a common approach to address the extensive computationally demanding algorithms such as optimization, calibration and uncertainty quantification. Adaptive sampling for multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-30 Sayan Ghosh , Jesper Kristensen , Yiming Zhang , Waad Subber , Liping Wang

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a popular topic in contemporary machine learning. To this end, various useful approaches have been proposed in the context of $\ell_1$-penalized estimation in the Gaussian framework.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-04 Sang-Yun Oh , Onkar Dalal , Kshitij Khare , Bala Rajaratnam

In the post-Dennard era, optimizing embedded systems requires navigating complex trade-offs between energy efficiency and latency. Traditional heuristic tuning is often inefficient in such high-dimensional, non-smooth landscapes. In this…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Zheyuan Hu , Yifei Shi

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

The optimization of structural parameters, such as mass(m), stiffness(k), and damping coefficient(c), is critical for designing efficient, resilient, and stable structures. Conventional numerical approaches, including Finite Element Method…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Sagnik Mukherjee , Indrajit Barua

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

We study the problem of probability distribution matching and sampling on near-term quantum computers, aiming to construct parameterized circuits that generate samples from a target distribution while minimizing resource overhead. This task…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Nicholas S. DiBrita , Jason Han , Krishna Bhatia , Younghyun Cho , Hengrui Luo , Tirthak Patel

We investigate a machine learning approach to option Greeks approximation based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogates. The method takes in noisily observed option prices, fits a nonparametric input-output map and then analytically…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-17 Mike Ludkovski , Yuri Saporito

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

We propose a new stochastic optimization framework for empirical risk minimization problems such as those that arise in machine learning. The traditional approaches, such as (mini-batch) stochastic gradient descent (SGD), utilize an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-04 Kenji Kawaguchi , Haihao Lu