相关论文: Stochastic Control and Pricing for Natural Gas Net…
The disturbances from variable and uncertain renewable generation propagate from power systems to natural gas networks, causing gas network operators to adjust gas supply nominations to ensure operational security. To alleviate expensive…
We formulate an economic optimal control problem for transport of natural gas over a large-scale transmission pipeline network under transient flow conditions. The objective is to maximize economic welfare for users of the pipeline system,…
We present a method for joint state and parameter estimation for natural gas networks where gas pressures and flows through a network of pipes depend on time-varying injections, withdrawals, and compression controls. The estimation is posed…
Natural gas consumption by users of pipeline networks is subject to increasing uncertainty that originates from the intermittent nature of electric power loads serviced by gas-fired generators. To enable computationally efficient…
Uncertainty in renewable energy generation has the potential to adversely impact the operation of electric networks. Numerous approaches to manage this impact have been proposed, ranging from stochastic and chance-constrained programming to…
This paper is devoted to the price-storage dynamics in natural gas markets. A novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model is introduced with path-dependence in both price volatility and storage increments. Model calibrations are…
We present a stochastic optimal control problem for a tree network. The dynamics of the network are governed by transport equations with a special emphasis on the non-linear damping function. Demand profiles at the network sinks are…
This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…
Gas-fired generators, with their ability to quickly ramp up and down their electricity production, play an important role in managing renewable energy variability. However, these changes in electricity production translate into variability…
Due to the limited predictability of wind power and other stochastic generation, trading this energy in competitive electricity markets is challenging. This paper derives revenue-maximising and risk-constrained strategies for stochastic…
Voltage control plays an important role in the operation of electricity distribution networks, especially with high penetration of distributed energy resources. These resources introduce significant and fast varying uncertainties. In this…
Stochastic simulation is a widely used method for estimating quantities in models of chemical reaction networks where uncertainty plays a crucial role. However, reducing the statistical uncertainty of the corresponding estimators requires…
A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…
Higher shares of electricity generation from renewable energy sources and market liberalization is increasing uncertainty in power systems operation. At the same time, operation is becoming more flexible with improved control systems and…
We present an open-source solution for the operational control of drinking water distribution networks which accounts for the inherent uncertainty in water demand and electricity prices in the day-ahead market of a volatile deregulated…
Motivated by developments in renewable energy and smart grids, we formulate a stylized mathematical model of a transport network with stochastic load fluctuations. Using an affine control rule, we explore the trade-off between the number of…
This work introduces a stochastic model predictive control scheme for dynamic chance constraints. We consider linear discrete-time systems affected by unbounded additive stochastic disturbance. To synthesize an optimal controller, we solve…
This paper presents an algorithm to apply nonlinear control design approaches in the case of stochastic systems with partial state observation. Deterministic nonlinear control approaches are formulated under the assumption of full state…
Due to the current and foreseeable shifts in energy production, the trading and transport operations of gas will become more dynamic, volatile, and hence also less predictable. Therefore, computer-aided support in terms of rapid simulation…
Addressing the uncertainty introduced by increasing renewable integration is crucial for secure power system operation, yet capturing it while preserving the full nonlinear physics of the grid remains a significant challenge. This paper…