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With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Meteorological agencies around the world rely on real-time flood guidance to issue life-saving advisories and warnings. For decades traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been state-of-the-art for precipitation…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Levi Harris , Tianlong Chen

Accurate traffic flow prediction heavily relies on the spatio-temporal correlation of traffic flow data. Most current studies separately capture correlations in spatial and temporal dimensions, making it difficult to capture complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Ben-Ao Dai , Nengchao Lyu , Yongchao Miao

This study introduces ReSA-ConvLSTM, an artificial intelligence (AI) framework for systematic bias correction in numerical weather prediction (NWP). We propose three innovations by integrating dynamic climatological normalization, ConvLSTM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-23 Xiao Zhou , Yuze Sun , Jie Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

Computational complexity has been the bottleneck of applying physically-based simulations on large urban areas with high spatial resolution for efficient and systematic flooding analyses and risk assessments. To address this issue of long…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-14 Zifeng Guo , Joao P. Leitao , Nuno E. Simoes , Vahid Moosavi

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in transportation management and planning. The main challenges for traffic flow forecasting are that (1) as the length of prediction time increases, the accuracy of prediction will decrease; (2)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Jianli Xiao , Baichao Long

Short-term precipitation nowcasting is an inherently uncertain and under-constrained spatiotemporal forecasting problem, especially for rapidly evolving and extreme weather events. Existing generative approaches rely primarily on visual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Xudong Ling , Chaorong Li , Tianxi Huang , Qian Dong , Guiduo Duan

This study proposes two straightforward yet effective approaches to reduce the required computational time of the training process for time-series modeling through a recurrent neural network (RNN) using multi-time-scale time-series data as…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-11 Kei Ishida , Masato Kiyama , Ali Ercan , Motoki Amagasaki , Tongbi Tu

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi

Precipitation Nowcasting, which aims to predict precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours, is critical for disaster mitigation and real-time response planning. However, most time series forecasting benchmarks in meteorology are evaluated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Yifang Zhang , Shengwu Xiong , Henan Wang , Wenjie Yin , Jiawang Peng , Yuqiang Zhang , Chen Zhou , Hua Chen , Qile Zhao , Pengfei Duan

This paper introduces CloudLSTM, a new branch of recurrent neural models tailored to forecasting over data streams generated by geospatial point-cloud sources. We design a Dynamic Point-cloud Convolution (DConv) operator as the core…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Chaoyun Zhang , Marco Fiore , Iain Murray , Paul Patras

Spatiotemporal sequence prediction is an important problem in deep learning. We study next-frame(s) video prediction using a deep-learning-based predictive coding framework that uses convolutional, long short-term memory (convLSTM) modules.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-24 Nelly Elsayed , Anthony S. Maida , Magdy Bayoumi

Recent advances in deep learning have significantly elevated weather prediction models. However, these models often falter in real-world scenarios due to their sensitivity to spatial-temporal shifts. This issue is particularly acute in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Lu Han , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

The objective of this work is to provide high-resolution rain rate maps at short lead-time forecasts (nowcasts) necessary to anticipate flooding and properly manage sewage systems in urban areas by combining radars, rain gauges, and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-10-30 Blandine Bianchi , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Robin J. Hogan , Alexis Berne

In this research paper, we study the capability of artificial neural network models to emulate storm surge based on the storm track/size/intensity history, leveraging a database of synthetic storm simulations. Traditionally, Computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-21 Ehsan Adeli , Luning Sun , Jianxun Wang , Alexandros A. Taflanidis

Predicting precipitation maps is a highly complex spatiotemporal modeling task, critical for mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. Short-term precipitation forecasting, or nowcasting, requires models that are not only accurate…

Skillful medium-range precipitation forecasting at kilometer scale remains challenging over complex terrain because precipitation arises from multiscale nonlinear processes that global models cannot explicitly resolve at affordable cost.…

Recently, air pollution is one of the most concerns for big cities. Predicting air quality for any regions and at any time is a critical requirement of urban citizens. However, air pollution prediction for the whole city is a challenging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Van-Duc Le , Tien-Cuong Bui , Sang Kyun Cha

An architecture consisting of a serial coupling of the one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) and the long short-term memory (LSTM) network, which is referred as CNNsLSTM, was proposed for hourly-scale rainfall-runoff…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Kei Ishida , Ali Ercan , Takeyoshi Nagasato , Masato Kiyama , Motoki Amagasaki

Changing climate signals and the continuous world population growth requires proper hydrologic risk analysis to build and operate water resource infrastructures in a sustainable way. Although modernized computational facilities are becoming…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2022-08-30 Victor Peñaranda , David Serrano , Mahesh Maskey