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Deep learning has revolutionized the last decade, being at the forefront of extraordinary advances in a wide range of tasks including computer vision, natural language processing, and reinforcement learning, to name but a few. However, it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Sebastian W. Ober

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Stochastic Natural Gradient Variational Inference (NGVI) is a widely used method for approximating posterior distribution in probabilistic models. Despite its empirical success and foundational role in variational inference, its theoretical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Fangyuan Sun , Ilyas Fatkhullin , Niao He

Computer models play a crucial role in numerous scientific and engineering domains. To ensure the accuracy of simulations, it is essential to properly calibrate the input parameters of these models through statistical inference. While…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Dongkyu Derek Cho , Won Chang , Jaewoo Park

We extend several recent results providing symmetry-based guarantees for variational inference (VI) with location-scale families. VI approximates a target density $p$ by the best match $q^*$ in a family $Q$ of tractable distributions that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Charles C. Margossian , Lawrence K. Saul

This paper investigates Frequentist consistency properties of the posterior distributions constructed via Generalized Variational Inference (GVI). A number of generic and novel strategies are given for proving consistency, relying on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-12 Jeremias Knoblauch

Along with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, variational inference (VI) has emerged as a central computational approach to large-scale Bayesian inference. Rather than sampling from the true posterior $\pi$, VI aims at producing a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-24 Marc Lambert , Sinho Chewi , Francis Bach , Silvère Bonnabel , Philippe Rigollet

In variational inference (VI), the practitioner approximates a high-dimensional distribution $\pi$ with a simple surrogate one, often a (product) Gaussian distribution. However, in many cases of practical interest, Gaussian distributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Luca Ghafourpour , Sinho Chewi , Alessio Figalli , Aram-Alexandre Pooladian

Variational inference (VI) is a central tool in modern machine learning, used to approximate an intractable target density by optimising over a tractable family of distributions. As the variational family cannot typically represent the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Daniel Marks , Dario Paccagnan , Mark van der Wilk

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-26 Jaan Altosaar , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Variational inference (VI) combined with data subsampling enables approximate posterior inference over large data sets, but suffers from poor local optima. We first formulate a deterministic annealing approach for the generic class of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-31 Stephan Mandt , James McInerney , Farhan Abrol , Rajesh Ranganath , David Blei

Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) has been widely applied in large scale Bayesian inference. However MFVI, which assumes a product distribution on the latent variables, often leads to objective functions with many local optima, making…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-03 Mingzhang Yin , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Purnamrita Sarkar

Stochastic variational inference (SVI) plays a key role in Bayesian deep learning. Recently various divergences have been proposed to design the surrogate loss for variational inference. We present a simple upper bound of the evidence as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Chunlin Ji , Haige Shen

Statistical models are central to machine learning with broad applicability across a range of downstream tasks. The models are controlled by free parameters that are typically estimated from data by maximum-likelihood estimation or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Vaidotas Simkus , Benjamin Rhodes , Michael U. Gutmann

We prove rates of convergence and robustness to prior misspecification within a Generalised Variational Inference (GVI) framework with bounded divergences. This addresses a significant open challenge for GVI and Federated GVI that employ a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-04 Terje Mildner , Paris Giampouras , Theodoros Damoulas

Traditional neural networks are simple to train but they typically produce overconfident predictions. In contrast, Bayesian neural networks provide good uncertainty quantification but optimizing them is time consuming due to the large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

Variational inference is an umbrella term for algorithms which cast Bayesian inference as optimization. Classically, variational inference uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence to define the optimization. Though this divergence has been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-16 Rajesh Ranganath , Jaan Altosaar , Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Modern variational inference (VI) uses stochastic gradients to avoid intractable expectations, enabling large-scale probabilistic inference in complex models. VI posits a family of approximating distributions q and then finds the member of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , David Blei

We develop unbiased implicit variational inference (UIVI), a method that expands the applicability of variational inference by defining an expressive variational family. UIVI considers an implicit variational distribution obtained in a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-07 Michalis K. Titsias , Francisco J. R. Ruiz