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Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Recent progress in neural forecasting accelerated improvements in the performance of large-scale forecasting systems. Yet, long-horizon forecasting remains a very difficult task. Two common challenges afflicting the task are the volatility…

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

To model time series accurately is important within a wide range of fields. As the world is generally too complex to be modelled exactly, it is often meaningful to assess the probability of a dynamical system to be in a specific state. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-16 Mari Dahl Eggen , Alise Danielle Midtfjord

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Energy time-series analysis describes the process of analyzing past energy observations and possibly external factors so as to predict the future. Different tasks are involved in the general field of energy time-series analysis and…

Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), a prominent approach in Quantum Machine Learning (QML), are emerging as a powerful alternative to classical machine learning methods. Recent studies have focused on the applicability of QNNs to various tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Batuhan Hangun , Oguz Altun , Onder Eyecioglu

Accurate forecasting of battery health indicators, including remaining capacity and lifetime, is of paramount importance for ensuring the reliability, safety, and operational efficiency of applications such as electric vehicles and large…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-29 Athanasios Koukosias , Vasileios Tzanidakis , Sotiris Athanasiou , Kostas Kolomvatsos

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

Forecasting the actual amount of electricity with respect to the need/demand of the load is always been a challenging task for each power plants based generating stations. Due to uncertain demand of electricity at receiving end of station…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Jaymin Suhagiya , Deep Raval , Siddhi Vinayak Pandey , Jeet Patel , Ayushi Gupta , Akshay Srivastava

Query performance prediction, the task of predicting the latency of a query, is one of the most challenging problem in database management systems. Existing approaches rely on features and performance models engineered by human experts, but…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-04-09 Ryan Marcus , Olga Papaemmanouil

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) centers around the world operate a variety of NWP models. In addition, recent advances in AI-driven NWP models have further increased the availability of NWP outputs. While this expansion holds the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Atsushi Kudo

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich

As a result of the greater availability of big data, as well as the decreasing costs and increasing power of modern computing, the use of artificial neural networks for financial time series forecasting is once again a major topic of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-21 Adam Balusik , Jared de Magalhaes , Rendani Mbuvha