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The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative computational method to calculate the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) from the sample data. It converts a complicated one-time calculation for the MLE of the incomplete data…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-08 Lingyao Meng

Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Yannick Hoga

This paper introduces a technique to enhance the efficiency of quadratic machine learning models, particularly Field-Aware Factorization Machines (FFMs) handling binary data. Our approach strategically reduces model size through optimized…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-03-27 Yasuharu Okamoto

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

Error Feedback (EF) is a highly popular and immensely effective mechanism for fixing convergence issues which arise in distributed training methods (such as distributed GD or SGD) when these are enhanced with greedy communication…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Peter Richtárik , Elnur Gasanov , Konstantin Burlachenko

Field-aware Factorization Machines (FFMs) have emerged as a powerful model for click-through rate prediction, particularly excelling in capturing complex feature interactions. In this work, we present an in-depth analysis of our in-house,…

The accurate specification of the number of factors is critical to the validity of factor models and the topic almost occupies the central position in factor analysis. Plenty of estimators are available under the restrictive condition that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-15 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

In [1], we introduced a new, matrix algebraic, performance analysis framework for wireless systems with fading channels based on the matrix exponential distribution. The main idea was to use the compact, powerful, and easy-to-use, matrix…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-12-21 Peter Larsson , Lars K. Rasmussen , Mikael Skoglund

Factorization Machines (FMs) are a supervised learning approach that enhances the linear regression model by incorporating the second-order feature interactions. Despite effectiveness, FM can be hindered by its modelling of all feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-17 Jun Xiao , Hao Ye , Xiangnan He , Hanwang Zhang , Fei Wu , Tat-Seng Chua

We introduce a novel regression framework which simultaneously models the quantile and the Expected Shortfall (ES) of a response variable given a set of covariates. This regression is based on a strictly consistent loss function for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-13 Timo Dimitriadis , Sebastian Bayer

The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) technique is a machine learning approach for constructing feed-forward neural networks with a single hidden layer and their models. The ELM model can be constructed while being trained by concurrently…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-30 Muideen Adegoke , Lateef O. Jolaoso , Mardiyyah Oduwole

Regression mixture models are widely studied in statistics, machine learning and data analysis. Fitting regression mixtures is challenging and is usually performed by maximum likelihood by using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-25 Faicel Chamroukhi

Accurate forecasts of macroeconomic and financial data, such as GDP, CPI, unemployment rates, and stock indices, are crucial for the success of countries, businesses, and investors, resulting in a constant demand for reliable forecasting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Tomasz M. Łapiński , Krzysztof Ziółkowski

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is a versatile tool for model parameter estimation in latent data models. When processing large data sets or data stream however, EM becomes intractable since it requires the whole data set to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-18 Sylvain Le Corff , Gersende Fort

Discovering the intended items of user queries from a massive repository of items is one of the main goals of an e-commerce search system. Relevance prediction is essential to the search system since it helps improve performance. When…

This paper contributes improvements on both the effectiveness and efficiency of Matrix Factorization (MF) methods for implicit feedback. We highlight two critical issues of existing works. First, due to the large space of unobserved…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2017-08-18 Xiangnan He , Hanwang Zhang , Min-Yen Kan , Tat-Seng Chua

We present a new probabilistic model to address semi-nonnegative matrix factorization (SNMF), called Skellam-SNMF. It is a hierarchical generative model consisting of prior components, Skellam-distributed hidden variables and observed data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Benoit Fuentes , Gaël Richard

Factorization machine (FM) is a popular machine learning model to capture the second order feature interactions. The optimal learning guarantee of FM and its generalized version is not yet developed. For a rank $k$ generalized FM of $d$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Ming Lin , Shuang Qiu , Jieping Ye , Xiaomin Song , Qi Qian , Liang Sun , Shenghuo Zhu , Rong Jin

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma