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Machine learning is nowadays the methodology of choice for flare forecasting and supervised techniques, in both their traditional and deep versions, are becoming the most frequently used ones for prediction in this area of space weather.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-11-25 Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Anna Maria Massone , Michele Piana

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

A deep learning model is often considered a black-box model, as its internal workings tend to be opaque to the user. Because of the lack of transparency, it is challenging to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions. Here, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Adam O. Rawashdeh , Jason T. L. Wang , Katherine G. Herbert

This paper presents a post hoc analysis of a deep learning-based full-disk solar flare prediction model. We used hourly full-disk line-of-sight magnetogram images and selected binary prediction mode to predict the occurrence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Berkay Aydin

In this paper, we introduce a novel methodology for leveraging shape-based characteristics of magnetograms of active region (AR) patches and provide a novel capability for predicting solar flares covering the entirety of the solar disk (AR…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Temitope Adeyeha , Jinsu Hong , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

The application of machine learning in solar physics has the potential to greatly enhance our understanding of the complex processes that take place in the atmosphere of the Sun. By using techniques such as deep learning, we are now in the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-28 A. Asensio Ramos , M. C. M. Cheung , I. Chifu , R. Gafeira

Solar flare prediction is a central problem in space weather forecasting and has captivated the attention of a wide spectrum of researchers due to recent advances in both remote sensing as well as machine learning and deep learning…

空间物理 · 物理学 2022-09-19 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Rafal A. Angryk , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Berkay Aydin

Solar flares are among the most severe space weather phenomena, and they have the capacity to generate radiation storms and radio disruptions on Earth. The accurate prediction of solar flare events remains a significant challenge, requiring…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-10-31 Vysakh P. A. , Prateek Mayank

This paper contributes to the growing body of research on deep learning methods for solar flare prediction, primarily focusing on highly overlooked near-limb flares and utilizing the attribution methods to provide a post hoc qualitative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Space weather phenomena such as solar flares, have massive destructive power when reaches certain amount of magnitude. Such high magnitude solar flare event can interfere space-earth radio communications and neutralize space-earth…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-01-19 Vlad Landa , Yuval Reuveni

Solar flares create adverse space weather impacting space and Earth-based technologies. However, the difficulty of forecasting flares, and by extension severe space weather, is accentuated by the lack of any unique flare trigger or a single…

This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning models in predicting $\geq$M-class solar flares with a prediction window of 24 hours, using hourly sampled full-disk line-of-sight (LoS) magnetogram images, particularly focusing…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

We developed an operational solar flare prediction model using deep neural networks, named Deep Flare Net (DeFN). DeFN can issue probabilistic forecasts of solar flares in two categories, such as >=M-class and <M-class events or >=C-class…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-03 Naoto Nishizuka , Yuki Kubo , Komei Sugiura , Mitsue Den , Mamoru Ishii

We describe here the application of a machine learning method for flare forecasting using vectors of properties extracted from images provided by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager in the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO/HMI). We also…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-07-17 Michele Piana , Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Sabrina Guastavano , Anna Maria Massone

Solar flares originate from magnetically active regions but not all solar active regions give rise to a flare. Therefore, the challenge of solar flare prediction benefits by an intelligent computational analysis of physics-based properties…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-10-09 Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Anna Maria Massone , D Shaun Bloomfield , Manolis K Georgoulis , Michele Piana

In this work we leverage a weakly-labeled dataset of spectral data from NASAs IRIS satellite for the prediction of solar flares using the Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) paradigm. While standard supervised learning models expect a label…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-21 Cédric Huwyler , Martin Melchior

Solar flares - bursts of high-energy radiation responsible for severe space-weather effects - are a consequence of the occasional destabilization of magnetic fields rooted in active regions (ARs). The complexity of AR evolution is a barrier…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-05-27 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Mark C. M. Cheung

In this dataset we provide a comprehensive collection of magnetograms (images quantifying the strength of the magnetic field) from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA's) Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). The dataset…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Laura E. Boucheron , Ty Vincent , Jeremy A. Grajeda , Ellery Wuest

With machine learning entering into the awareness of the heliophysics community, solar flare prediction has become a topic of increased interest. Although machine learning models have advanced with each successive publication, the input…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-03-11 Brandon Panos , Lucia Kleint

We developed a flare prediction model using machine learning, which is optimized to predict the maximum class of flares occurring in the following 24 h. Machine learning is used to devise algorithms that can learn from and make decisions on…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-02-01 N. Nishizuka , K. Sugiura , Y. Kubo , M. Den , S. Watari , M. Ishii