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Causal learning from data has received much attention recently. Bayesian networks can be used to capture causal relationships. There, one recovers a weighted directed acyclic graph in which random variables are represented by vertices, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Georgios Korpas , Jakub Marecek

A structural equation model (SEM) is an effective framework to reason over causal relationships represented via a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Recent advances have enabled effective maximum-likelihood point estimation of DAGs from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Chris Cundy , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

We introduce a novel framework for the estimation of the posterior distribution over the weights of a neural network, based on a new probabilistic interpretation of adaptive optimisation algorithms such as AdaGrad and Adam. We demonstrate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Samuel Kessler , Arnold Salas , Vincent W. C. Tan , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

This paper studies the problem of learning causal structures from observational data. We reformulate the Structural Equation Model (SEM) with additive noises in a form parameterized by binary graph adjacency matrix and show that, if the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Ignavier Ng , Shengyu Zhu , Zhuangyan Fang , Haoyang Li , Zhitang Chen , Jun Wang

Causal discovery is a difficult problem that typically relies on strong assumptions on the data-generating model, such as non-Gaussianity. In practice, many modern applications provide multiple related views of the same system, which has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Ambroise Heurtebise , Omar Chehab , Pierre Ablin , Alexandre Gramfort , Aapo Hyvärinen

This paper studies causal discovery for a directed acyclic graph under a structural equation model with additive heteroscedastic errors. We first establish new identifiability results for location-scale noise models, showing that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Xintao Xia , Li Chen , Yue Hu , Chunlin Li

Identifying causal relations among multi-variate time series is one of the most important elements towards understanding the complex mechanisms underlying the dynamic system. It provides critical tools for forecasting, simulations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Yang Sun , Yifan Xie

We consider recovering causal structure from multivariate observational data. We assume the data arise from a linear structural equation model (SEM) in which the idiosyncratic errors are allowed to be dependent in order to capture possible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

Deep neural networks can obtain impressive performance on various tasks under the assumption that their training domain is identical to their target domain. Performance can drop dramatically when this assumption does not hold. One…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

Can Neural Assemblies -- groups of neurons that fire together and strengthen through co-activation -- learn the direction of causal influence between variables? While established as a computationally general substrate for classification,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Evangelia Kopadi , Dimitris Kalles

Causal inference is a crucial goal of science, enabling researchers to arrive at meaningful conclusions regarding the predictions of hypothetical interventions using observational data. Path models, Structural Equation Models (SEMs), and,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Matthew J. Vowels

The analysis of system reliability has often benefited from graphical tools such as fault trees and Bayesian networks. In this article, instead of conventional graphical tools, we apply a probabilistic graphical model called the chain event…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Xuewen Yu , Jim Q. Smith

A new causal discovery method, Structural Agnostic Modeling (SAM), is presented in this paper. Leveraging both conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries, SAM aims to find the underlying causal structure from observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Diviyan Kalainathan , Olivier Goudet , Isabelle Guyon , David Lopez-Paz , Michèle Sebag

Structural equation models (SEMs) and vector autoregressive models (VARMs) are two broad families of approaches that have been shown useful in effective brain connectivity studies. While VARMs postulate that a given region of interest in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-21 Yanning Shen , Brian Baingana , Georgios B. Giannakis

Bayesian networks are a powerful framework for studying the dependency structure of variables in a complex system. The problem of learning Bayesian networks is tightly associated with the given data type. Ordinal data, such as stages of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-15 Xiang Ge Luo , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Ensembling can improve the performance of Neural Networks, but existing approaches struggle when the architecture likelihood surface has dispersed, narrow peaks. Furthermore, existing methods construct equally weighted ensembles, and this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Saad Hamid , Xingchen Wan , Martin Jørgensen , Binxin Ru , Michael Osborne

In this work, we discover that causal inference provides a promising approach to capture heterophilic message-passing in Graph Neural Network (GNN). By leveraging cause-effect analysis, we can discern heterophilic edges based on asymmetric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Botao Wang , Jia Li , Heng Chang , Keli Zhang , Fugee Tsung

We consider the problem of recovering the true causal structure among a set of variables, generated by a linear acyclic structural equation model (SEM) with the error terms being independent, not necessarily Gaussian, and having equal…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-25 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Yang Ni , Anirban Bhattacharya

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

We consider the problem of learning the underlying causal structure among a set of variables, which are assumed to follow a Bayesian network or, more specifically, a linear recursive structural equation model (SEM) with the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-05 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yang Ni
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