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In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

Accurate prediction of crop yield before harvest is of great importance for crop logistics, market planning, and food distribution around the world. Yield prediction requires monitoring of phenological and climatic characteristics over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Florian Huber , Artem Yushchenko , Benedikt Stratmann , Volker Steinhage

This paper will illustrate the usage of Machine Learning algorithms on US College Scorecard datasets. For this paper, we will use our knowledge, research, and development of a predictive model to compare the results of all the models and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-13 Zalak Patel , Ayushi Porwal , Kajal Bhandare , Jongwook Woo

Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

In retail sales forecasting, accurately predicting future sales is crucial for inventory management and strategic planning. Traditional methods like LR often fall short due to the complexity of sales data, which includes seasonality and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Priyam Ganguly , Isha Mukherjee

Confronted with the spatial heterogeneity of real estate market, some traditional research utilized Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) to estimate the house price. However, its kernel function is non-linear, elusive, and complex to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Zimo Wang , Yicheng Wang , Sensen Wu

Online real-estate information systems such as Zillow and Trulia have gained increasing popularity in recent years. One important feature offered by these systems is the online home price estimate through automated data-intensive…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-03-05 Bang Liu , Borislav Mavrin , Di Niu , Linglong Kong

How do property prices respond to changes in local taxes and local public services? Attempts to measure this, starting with Oates (1969), have suffered from a lack of local public service controls. Recent work attempts to overcome such data…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-29 Isaiah Hull , Anna Grodecka-Messi

Used car pricing is a critical aspect of the automotive industry, influenced by many economic factors and market dynamics. With the recent surge in online marketplaces and increased demand for used cars, accurate pricing would benefit both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Kiran Madhusudhanan , Gunnar Behrens , Maximilian Stubbemann , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Prior research in psychology has found that people's decisions are often inconsistent. An individual's decisions vary across time, and decisions vary even more across people. Inconsistencies have been identified not only in subjective…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Nina Grgić-Hlača , Junaid Ali , Krishna P. Gummadi , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

While there is excitement about the potential for algorithms to optimize individual decision-making, changes in individual behavior will, almost inevitably, impact markets. Yet little is known about such effects. In this paper, I study how…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-14 Lindsey Raymond

Predicting drug properties is key in drug discovery to enable de-risking of assets before expensive clinical trials, and to find highly active compounds faster. Interest from the Machine Learning community has led to the release of a…

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Real estate appraisal refers to the process of developing an unbiased opinion for real property's market value, which plays a vital role in decision-making for various players in the marketplace (e.g., real estate agents, appraisers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Weijia Zhang , Hao Liu , Lijun Zha , Hengshu Zhu , Ji Liu , Dejing Dou , Hui Xiong

Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-02 MengMeng Han , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Brad Murphy

The assessment and valuation of real estate requires large datasets with real estate information. Unfortunately, real estate databases are usually sparse in practice, i.e., not for each property every important attribute is available. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-17 Eric Stumpe , Miroslav Despotovic , Zedong Zhang , Matthias Zeppelzauer

We provide algorithms that learn simple auctions whose revenue is approximately optimal in multi-item multi-bidder settings, for a wide range of valuations including unit-demand, additive, constrained additive, XOS, and subadditive. We…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-09-04 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis

Machine learning improves predictive accuracy in insurance pricing but exacerbates trade-offs between competing fairness criteria across different discrimination measures, challenging regulators and insurers to reconcile profitability with…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-01 Tim J. Boonen , Xinyue Fan , Zixiao Quan

The trading ecosystem of the Municipal (muni) bond is complex and unique. With nearly 2\% of securities from over a million securities outstanding trading daily, determining the value or relative value of a bond among its peers is…