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Stochastic variational Bayes algorithms have become very popular in the machine learning literature, particularly in the context of nonparametric Bayesian inference. These algorithms replace the true but intractable posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-04 Pedro Regueiro , Abel Rodríguez , Juan Sosa

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

The tuning of stochastic gradient algorithms (SGAs) for optimization and sampling is often based on heuristics and trial-and-error rather than generalizable theory. We address this theory--practice gap by characterizing the large-sample…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-21 Jeffrey Negrea , Jun Yang , Haoyue Feng , Daniel M. Roy , Jonathan H. Huggins

Bayesian Neural Networks(BNNs) with high-dimensional parameters pose a challenge for posterior inference due to the multi-modality of the posterior distributions. Stochastic Gradient MCMC(SGMCMC) with cyclical learning rate scheduling is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 SeungHyun Kim , Seohyeon Jung , Seonghyeon Kim , Juho Lee

We introduce adaptive sampling methods for stochastic programs with deterministic constraints. First, we propose and analyze a variant of the stochastic projected gradient method where the sample size used to approximate the reduced…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-07 Florian Beiser , Brendan Keith , Simon Urbainczyk , Barbara Wohlmuth

The antithetic integral feedback motif recently introduced in Briat, Gupta & Khammash (Cell Systems, 2017) is known to ensure robust perfect adaptation for the mean dynamics of a given molecular species involved in a complex stochastic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-23 Corentin Briat , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are foundational algorithms for Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling. However, most MCMC algorithms are inherently sequential and their time complexity scales linearly with the sequence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-03 David M. Zoltowski , Skyler Wu , Xavier Gonzalez , Leo Kozachkov , Scott W. Linderman

Autocorrelations in MCMC chains increase the variance of the estimators they produce. We propose the occlusion process to mitigate this problem. It is a process that sits upon an existing MCMC sampler, and occasionally replaces its samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Max Hird , Florian Maire

In the vanishing learning rate regime, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is now relatively well understood. In this work, we propose to study the basic properties of SGD and its variants in the non-vanishing learning rate regime. The focus…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-14 Kangqiao Liu , Liu Ziyin , Masahito Ueda

This paper presents a study using the Bayesian approach in stochastic volatility models for modeling financial time series, using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods (HMC). We propose the use of other distributions for the errors in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-12-07 David S. Dias , Ricardo S. Ehlers

Variational inference is a powerful paradigm for approximate Bayesian inference with a number of appealing properties, including support for model learning and data subsampling. By contrast MCMC methods like Hamiltonian Monte Carlo do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-14 Martin Jankowiak , Du Phan

Decision making under uncertainty is critical to real-world, autonomous systems. Model Predictive Control (MPC) methods have demonstrated favorable performance in practice, but remain limited when dealing with complex probability…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Alexander Lambert , Adam Fishman , Dieter Fox , Byron Boots , Fabio Ramos

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

We study the problem of empirical minimization for variance-type functionals over functional classes. Sharp non-asymptotic bounds for the excess variance are derived under mild conditions. In particular, it is shown that under some…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-08-03 D. Belomestny , L. Iosipoi , Q. Paris , N. Zhivotovskiy

We present an efficient finite difference method for the computation of parameter sensitivities that is applicable to a wide class of continuous time Markov chain models. The estimator for the method is constructed by coupling the perturbed…

数值分析 · 数学 2012-05-14 David F. Anderson

Traditional methods for solving linear systems have quickly become impractical due to an increase in the size of available data. Utilizing massive amounts of data is further complicated when the data is incomplete or has missing entries. In…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-01-09 Anna Ma , Deanna Needell

Stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) is a computationally efficient sampler for Bayesian posterior inference given a large scale dataset. Although SGLD is designed for unbounded random variables, many practical models incorporate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-21 Soma Yokoi , Takuma Otsuka , Issei Sato

This paper focuses on variational inference with intractable likelihood functions that can be unbiasedly estimated. A flexible variational approximation based on Gaussian mixtures is developed, by adopting the mixture population Monte Carlo…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-02 Zhijian He , Shifeng Huo , Tianhui Yang

We estimate the parameter of a stationary time series process by minimizing the integrated weighted mean squared error between the empirical and simulated characteristic function, when the true characteristic functions cannot be explicitly…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-03 Richard A. Davis , Thiago do Rêgo Sousa , Claudia Klüppelberg

Statistical inference in evolutionary models with site-dependence is a long-standing challenge in phylogenetics and computational biology. We consider the problem of approximating marginal sequence likelihoods under dependent-site models of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-12 Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler
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