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Model averaging techniques in the actuarial literature aim to forecast future longevity appropriately by combining forecasts derived from various models. This approach often yields more accurate predictions than those generated by a single…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Giovanna Bimonte , Maria Russolillo , Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

Intervention intuition is often used in model explanation where the intervention effect of a feature on the outcome is quantified by the difference of a model prediction when the feature value is changed from the current value to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Le , Jixue Liu

Shapley values provide model agnostic feature attributions for model outcome at a particular instance by simulating feature absence under a global population distribution. The use of a global population can lead to potentially misleading…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-29 Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Lucile Ter-Minassian , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Chris Holmes

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have demonstrated strong capacity in supporting a wide variety of applications. Shapley value has emerged as a prominent tool to analyze feature importance to help people understand the inference process of deep…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-19 Xiaolei Lu

Estimating feature importance is a significant aspect of explaining data-based models. Besides explaining the model itself, an equally relevant question is which features are important in the underlying data generating process. We present a…

This work focuses on developing efficient post-hoc explanations for quantum AI algorithms. In classical contexts, the cooperative game theory concept of the Shapley value adapts naturally to post-hoc explanations, where it can be used to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-04-18 Iain Burge , Michel Barbeau , Joaquin Garcia-Alfaro

Scores based on Shapley values are widely used for providing explanations to classification results over machine learning models. A prime example of this is the influential SHAP-score, a version of the Shapley value that can help explain…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-04-06 Marcelo Arenas , Pablo Barceló Leopoldo Bertossi , Mikaël Monet

We investigate the application of the Shapley value to quantifying the contribution of a tuple to a query answer. The Shapley value is a widely known numerical measure in cooperative game theory and in many applications of game theory for…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Ester Livshits , Leopoldo Bertossi , Benny Kimelfeld , Moshe Sebag

Shapley values, originating in game theory and increasingly prominent in explainable AI, have been proposed to assess the contribution of facts in query answering over databases, along with other similar power indices such as Banzhaf…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Pratik Karmakar , Mikaël Monet , Pierre Senellart , Stéphane Bressan

Over the recent years, Shapley value (SV), a solution concept from cooperative game theory, has found numerous applications in data analytics (DA). This paper presents the first comprehensive study of SV used throughout the DA workflow,…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Hong Lin , Shixin Wan , Zhongle Xie , Ke Chen , Meihui Zhang , Lidan Shou , Gang Chen

A large branch of explainable machine learning is grounded in cooperative game theory. However, research indicates that game-theoretic explanations may mislead or be hard to interpret. We argue that often there is a critical mismatch…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Luca Franceschi , Michele Donini , Cédric Archambeau , Matthias Seeger

SHAP scores represent the proposed use of the well-known Shapley values in eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI). Recent work has shown that the exact computation of SHAP scores can produce unsatisfactory results. Concretely, for some…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Olivier Letoffe , Xuanxiang Huang , Joao Marques-Silva

Shapley-related techniques have gained attention as both global and local interpretation tools because of their desirable properties. However, their computation using conditional expectations is computationally expensive. Approximation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Zhipu Zhou , Jie Chen , Linwei Hu

This paper fills the limited statistical understanding of Shapley values as a variable importance measure from a nonparametric (or smoothing) perspective. We introduce population-level \textit{Shapley curves} to measure the true variable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Ratmir Miftachov , Georg Keilbar , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Reinforcement learning agents can achieve super-human performance in complex decision-making tasks, but their behaviour is often difficult to understand and explain. This lack of explanation limits deployment, especially in safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Daniel Beechey , Thomas M. S. Smith , Özgür Şimşek

The proliferation of large models has intensified the need for efficient data valuation methods to quantify the contribution of individual data providers. Traditional approaches, such as game-theory-based Shapley value and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Le Ma , Shirao Yang , Zihao Wang , Yinggui Wang , Lei Wang , Tao Wei , Kejun Zhang

Predictive Business Process Monitoring is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. This paper tackles the fundamental problem of equipping predictive business process monitoring…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-18 Riccardo Galanti , Bernat Coma-Puig , Massimiliano de Leoni , Josep Carmona , Nicolò Navarin

Shapley value is originally a concept in econometrics to fairly distribute both gains and costs to players in a coalition game. In the recent decades, its application has been extended to other areas such as marketing, engineering and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Liuqing Yang , Yongdao Zhou , Haoda Fu , Min-Qian Liu , Wei Zheng

Explaining machine learning (ML) predictions has become crucial as ML models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains such as healthcare. While SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) is widely used for model interpretability, it fails…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Woon Yee Ng , Li Rong Wang , Siyuan Liu , Xiuyi Fan

In this article, we provide an axiomatic characterization of feature attribution for multi-output predictors within the Shapley framework. While SHAP explanations are routinely computed independently for each output coordinate, the…