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We congratulate the authors on their exciting paper, which introduces a novel idea for assessing the estimation bias in causal estimates. Doubly robust estimators are now part of the standard set of tools in causal inference, but a typical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry A. Wasserman

For many causal effect parameters of interest, doubly robust machine learning (DRML) estimators $\hat{\psi}_{1}$ are the state-of-the-art, incorporating the good prediction performance of machine learning; the decreased bias of doubly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee , James M. Robins

We compare several confidence intervals after model selection in the setting recently studied by Berk et al. [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 802-837], where the goal is to cover not the true parameter but a certain nonstandard quantity of interest…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-30 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher , Karl Ewald

This paper addresses the problem of measurement errors in causal inference and highlights several algebraic and graphical methods for eliminating systematic bias induced by such errors. In particulars, the paper discusses the control of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Judea Pearl

We develop a general theory of omitted variable bias for a wide range of common causal parameters, including (but not limited to) averages of potential outcomes, average treatment effects, average causal derivatives, and policy effects from…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-28 Victor Chernozhukov , Carlos Cinelli , Whitney Newey , Amit Sharma , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Peng Ding , Luke W. Miratrix

A subvector of predictor that satisfies the ignorability assumption, whose index set is called a sufficient adjustment set, is crucial for conducting reliable causal inference based on observational data. In this paper, we propose a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Wei Luo , Fei Qin , Lixing Zhu

Constructing valid inferential methods for constrained parameters in normal and Poisson distributions represents two fundamental and important problems in applied statistics, for which there is currently no unified framework for statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Hezhi Lu , Qijun Wu

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye

Causal inference from observational data often assumes "ignorability," that all confounders are observed. This assumption is standard yet untestable. However, many scientific studies involve multiple causes, different variables whose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Rejoinder of "Frequentist coverage of adaptive nonparametric Bayesian credible sets" by Szab\'o, van der Vaart and van Zanten [arXiv:1310.4489v5].

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-07 Botond Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We study the assessment of semiparametric and other highly-parametrised models from the perspective of foundational principles of parametric statistical inference. In doing so, we highlight the possibility of avoiding the usual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Heather Battey , Nancy Reid

In this paper we review important aspects of semiparametric theory and empirical processes that arise in causal inference problems. We begin with a brief introduction to the general problem of causal inference, and go on to discuss…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Edward H. Kennedy

In this paper, we propose an empirical likelihood-based weighted estimator of regression parameter in quantile regression model with nonignorable missing covariates. The proposed estimator is computationally simple and achieves…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Xiaohui Yuan , Xiaogang Dong

Despite the accelerating presence of exploratory causal analysis in modern science and medicine, the available non-experimental methods for validating causal models are not well characterized. One of the most popular methods is to evaluate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-20 Ritwick Banerjee , Bryan Andrews , Erich Kummerfeld

We consider inference post-model-selection in linear regression. In this setting, Berk et al.(2013) recently introduced a class of confidence sets, the so-called PoSI intervals, that cover a certain non-standard quantity of interest with a…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-14 François Bachoc , Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

Various methods have recently been proposed to estimate causal effects with confidence intervals that are uniformly valid over a set of data generating processes when high-dimensional nuisance models are estimated by post-model-selection or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Niloofar Moosavi , Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

Several uncertainty estimation methods have been recently proposed for machine translation evaluation. While these methods can provide a useful indication of when not to trust model predictions, we show in this paper that the majority of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Chrysoula Zerva , André F. T. Martins
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