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Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

Mobile crowdsensing (MCS) leverages distributed and non-dedicated sensing concepts by utilizing sensors imbedded in a large number of mobile smart devices. However, the openness and distributed nature of MCS leads to various vulnerabilities…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Zhiyan Chen , Murat Simsek , Burak Kantarci

Fine-grained runtime power management techniques could be promising solutions for power reduction. Therefore, it is essential to establish accurate power monitoring schemes to obtain dynamic power variation in a short period (i.e., tens or…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2020-09-04 Zhe Lin , Wei Zhang , Sharad Sinha

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Distribution grid reliability and resilience has become a major topic of concern for utilities and their regulators. In particular, with the increase in severity of extreme events, utilities are considering major investments in distribution…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-13 Alexandre Moreira , Miguel Heleno , Alan Valenzuela , Joseph H. Eto , Jaime Ortega , Cristina Botero

Capturing the uncertainty in probabilistic wind power forecasts is challenging, especially when uncertain input variables, such as the weather, play a role. Since ensemble weather predictions aim to capture the uncertainty in the weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-26 Kaleb Phipps , Sebastian Lerch , Maria Andersson , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Nicole Ludwig

The accurate wind speed series forecast is very pivotal to security of grid dispatching and the application of wind power. Nevertheless, on account of their nonlinear and non-stationary nature, their short-term forecast is extremely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Haojian Huang

To address the environmental concern and improve the economic efficiency, the wind power is rapidly integrated into smart grids. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind energy raises operational challenges. To ensure the cost-efficient,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Yuan Yi , Zhi Zhou , Keqi Wang

This study investigates the economic and reliability benefits of improved offshore wind forecasting for grid operations along the U.S. East Coast. We introduce and evaluate a state-of-the-art, machine-learning-based offshore wind…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-22 Khaled Bin Walid , Feng Ye , Jiaxiang Ji , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat , Travis Miles , Yazhou Leo Jiang

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang

In the complex case of wind energy conversion systems (WECS) analysis and synthesis, the mathematical models of each component element are required. In the paper are presented some contributions to preset values establishing strategies and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Octavian Prostean , Iosif Szeidert , Nicolae Budisan , Gabriela Prostean , Cristian Vasar

The increase in renewable energy sources (RESs), like wind or solar power, results in growinguncertainty also in transmission grids. This affects grid stability through fluctuating energy supplyand an increased probability of overloaded…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-07 Rebecca Bauer , Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Nicole Ludwig , Veit Hagenmeyer

Self-powered intermittent systems typically adopt runtime checkpointing as a means to accumulate computation progress across power cycles and recover system status from power failures. However, existing approaches based on the checkpointing…

操作系统 · 计算机科学 2019-10-14 Wei-Ming Chen , Tei-Wei-Kuo , Pi-Cheng Hsiu

Modern microgrids are networked systems comprising physical and cyber components for networking, computation, and monitoring. These cyber components make microgrids more reliable but increase the system complexity. Therefore, risk…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-04 Shravan Kumar Akula , Hossein Salehfar

This work considers energy management in a grid-connected microgrid which consists of multiple conventional generators (CGs), renewable generators (RGs) and energy storage systems (ESSs). A two-stage optimization approach is presented to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-21 Wuhua Hu , Ping Wang , Hoay Beng Gooi

A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

Maintenance work orders are commonly used to document information about wind turbine operation and maintenance. This includes details about proactive and reactive wind turbine downtimes, such as preventative and corrective maintenance.…

The ongoing evolution of the electric power systems brings about the need to cope with increasingly complex interactions of technical components and relevant actors. In order to integrate a more comprehensive spectrum of different aspects…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-08-21 Markus Schläpfer , Tom Kessler , Wolfgang Kröger

This paper presents a new methodology for structural reliability analysis via stochastic finite element method (SFEM). A novel sample-based SFEM is firstly used to compute structural stochastic responses of all spatial points at the same…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-19 Zhibao Zheng